Football · England National League · 29/09, 20:00
Prediction: Boreham Wood vs Kidderminster
Team pages: Boreham Wood · Kidderminster
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Boreham Wood1.97
Kidderminster0.89
1X2
Boreham Wood
Draw
Kidderminster
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Boreham Wood
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Kidderminster
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boreham Wood
1–2–1
Kidderminster
(4 last)
- Kidderminster1-2Boreham Wood
- Boreham Wood1-1Kidderminster
- Boreham Wood0-2Kidderminster
- Kidderminster1-1Boreham Wood
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boreham Wood 1598 · Kidderminster 1548
| Boreham Wood | Draw | Kidderminster | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 63% | 21% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boreham Wood (rating 1598 vs 1548).
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boreham Wood | Kidderminster | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.7 | 2.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boreham Wood 1–2–1 Kidderminster
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/12/23 England National League | Kidderminster | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Boreham Wood |
| 26/12/23 England National League | Boreham Wood | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Kidderminster |
| 06/02/16 England National League | Boreham Wood | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Kidderminster |
| 06/10/15 England National League | Kidderminster | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Boreham Wood |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Southend | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 20 |
| 3 | AFC Fylde | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Harrogate Town | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 19 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 18 |
| 7 | Kidderminster | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 18 |
| 8 | Altrincham | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 18 |
| 9 | Worthing | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 10 | Sutton Utd | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | AFC Hornchurch | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 15 |
| 12 | Forest Green | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
| 13 | Eastleigh | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 14 | Halifax | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| 15 | Barrow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | Woking | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 11 |
| 18 | Boston Utd | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 19 | Carlisle | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 10 |
| 20 | Scunthorpe | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 9 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 8 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boreham Wood
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Solihull Moors England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Harrogate Town England National League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/09 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Carlisle England National League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Worthing England National League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/08 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Forest Green England National League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Halifax England National League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Tamworth England National League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | D |
Kidderminster
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Yeovil England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Woking England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 16/09 | Gateshead England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 11/09 | Hartlepool England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Wealdstone England National League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Barrow England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | Southend England National League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Aldershot England National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 15/08 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boreham Wood vs Kidderminster?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boreham Wood win (62%). Probabilities: Boreham Wood 62%, draw 22%, Kidderminster 16%.
How many goals are expected in Boreham Wood vs Kidderminster?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Boreham Wood 1.97 · Kidderminster 0.89), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Boreham Wood vs Kidderminster?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.