Football · England National League · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Boreham Wood vs Altrincham

Team pages: Boreham Wood · Altrincham

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Boreham Wood2.46

Altrincham1

1X2

69% 19% 13%

Boreham Wood Draw Altrincham

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Boreham Wood 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWDWWW

Altrincham 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Boreham Wood 2–2–2 Altrincham (6 last)

Altrincham3-1Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood3-1Altrincham
Boreham Wood0-1Altrincham
Altrincham1-1Boreham Wood
Altrincham0-2Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood1-1Altrincham

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boreham Wood 1597 · Altrincham 1546

	Boreham Wood	Draw	Altrincham
Our model	68%	19%	13%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boreham Wood (rating 1597 vs 1546).
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boreham Wood	Altrincham
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.7	3.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.93

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:49 +9’	1.33	5.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Boreham Wood 2–2–2 Altrincham

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 England National League	Altrincham	3-1 HT 1-0	Boreham Wood
13/09/25 England National League	Boreham Wood	3-1 HT 3-0	Altrincham
16/03/24 England National League	Boreham Wood	0-1 HT 0-0	Altrincham
19/08/23 England National League	Altrincham	1-1 HT 1-0	Boreham Wood
28/01/23 England National League	Altrincham	0-2 HT 0-1	Boreham Wood
27/08/22 England National League	Boreham Wood	1-1 HT 0-1	Altrincham

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	10	8	2	0	26	11	26
2	Southend	10	6	2	2	25	16	20
3	AFC Fylde	10	6	2	2	21	13	20
4	Harrogate Town	10	6	1	3	24	17	19
5	Aldershot	10	5	3	2	15	8	18
6	Yeovil	10	5	3	2	19	14	18
7	Kidderminster	10	5	3	2	13	8	18
8	Altrincham	10	6	0	4	15	15	18
9	Worthing	10	5	2	3	19	16	17
10	Sutton Utd	10	5	2	3	13	13	17
11	AFC Hornchurch	10	5	0	5	11	15	15
12	Forest Green	10	4	2	4	16	17	14
13	Eastleigh	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
14	Halifax	10	4	1	5	15	13	13
15	Barrow	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
15	Woking	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
17	Wealdstone	10	3	2	5	15	15	11
18	Boston Utd	10	3	2	5	13	14	11
19	Carlisle	10	2	4	4	18	19	10
20	Scunthorpe	10	3	1	6	15	16	10
21	Hartlepool	10	3	0	7	8	15	9
22	Tamworth	10	2	2	6	17	28	8
23	Solihull Moors	10	1	1	8	9	26	4
24	Gateshead	10	1	1	8	6	24	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boreham Wood	Altrincham
Eastleigh	1-1 D	2-1 W
Boston Utd	2-1 W	0-1 L
Forest Green	3-0 W	2-1 W
Halifax	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Boreham Wood (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boreham Wood

DWWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Solihull Moors England National League	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
19/09	Harrogate Town England National League	2-1	4-1	4	7	W
16/09	Scunthorpe England National League	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
12/09	Eastleigh England National League	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
05/09	Carlisle England National League	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
31/08	Worthing England National League	0-1	3-2	6	4	W
27/08	Boston Utd England National League	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
22/08	Forest Green England National League	2-0	3-0	5	4	W
15/08	Halifax England National League	1-0	3-1	10	3	W
08/08	Tamworth England National League	1-1	3-3	10	1	D

Altrincham

LLLWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	3-0	12	3	W
19/09	AFC Fylde England National League	2-1	2-1	2	7	W
16/09	Hartlepool England National League	1-1	2-1	8	5	W
12/09	Woking England National League	1-3	1-5	8	3	L
04/09	Eastleigh England National League	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
31/08	Forest Green England National League	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
28/08	Halifax England National League	2-0	2-1	4	4	W
22/08	Boston Utd England National League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
15/08	Sutton Utd England National League	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
08/08	Southend England National League	1-1	1-3	1	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boreham Wood vs Altrincham?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boreham Wood win (69%). Probabilities: Boreham Wood 69%, draw 19%, Altrincham 13%.

How many goals are expected in Boreham Wood vs Altrincham?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Boreham Wood 2.46 · Altrincham 1), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Boreham Wood vs Altrincham?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.