Prediction: Worthing vs Solihull Moors

Team pages: Worthing · Solihull Moors

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
Worthing1.98
Solihull Moors1.53
1X2
47% 24% 29%
Worthing Draw Solihull Moors
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Worthing 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLLDDWWWDW
Solihull Moors 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLDLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Worthing 1525 · Solihull Moors 1417
WorthingDrawSolihull Moors
Our model47%24%29%
Market47%24%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Worthing (rating 1525 vs 1417).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

WorthingSolihull Moors
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.41.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.40.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/10/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.91.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.43.7 / 0.2

Standings · England National League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Boreham Wood 121020 321332
2 Harrogate Town 12813 281725
3 Southend 12732 291824
4 Yeovil 12642 261522
5 Worthing 12633 221821
6 Altrincham 12705 171821
7 AFC Fylde 12624 221820
8 Kidderminster 12543 151219
9 Barrow 12534 201518
10 Aldershot 12534 171318
11 Sutton Utd 12534 141618
12 AFC Hornchurch 12606 131918
13 Halifax 12525 181417
14 Carlisle 12444 232016
15 Woking 12435 201915
16 Forest Green 11434 171815
17 Eastleigh 12435 141815
18 Tamworth 12426 202814
19 Wealdstone 12336 171812
20 Boston Utd 12336 142112
21 Scunthorpe 11317 151910
22 Hartlepool 12309 8179
23 Solihull Moors 12219 13307
24 Gateshead 121110 7274

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWorthingSolihull Moors
Gateshead 2-1 W 1-1 D
Yeovil 1-1 D 1-4 L
Halifax 2-1 W 0-2 L
Barrow 2-2 D 1-0 W
AFC Fylde 2-2 D 1-3 L
Boreham Wood 2-3 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Worthing (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Worthing

WLLDDWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Gateshead
England National League
1-1 2-1 44 W
29/09 Yeovil
England National League
1-0 1-1 61 D
26/09 Halifax
England National League
2-1 2-1 65 W
19/09 Hartlepool
England National League
1-0 3-1 34 W
15/09 AFC Hornchurch
England National League
1-0 1-0 24 W
12/09 Barrow
England National League
0-2 2-2 106 D
05/09 AFC Fylde
England National League
1-0 2-2 24 D
31/08 Boreham Wood
England National League
1-0 2-3 64 L
28/08 Tamworth
England National League
1-0 2-3 39 L
22/08 Wealdstone
England National League
1-0 1-0 75 W

Solihull Moors

LLLDLWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Halifax
England National League
0-0 0-2 42 L
29/09 Woking
England National League
3-2 4-2 16 W
26/09 Boreham Wood
England National League
0-1 0-3 02 L
18/09 Yeovil
England National League
0-1 1-4 14 L
15/09 Barrow
England National League
0-0 1-0 45 W
12/09 Aldershot
England National League
1-0 1-2 106 L
05/09 Gateshead
England National League
0-0 1-1 62 D
31/08 AFC Fylde
England National League
0-2 1-3 64 L
28/08 Scunthorpe
England National League
1-1 1-3 83 L
22/08 Southend
England National League
1-2 1-3 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Worthing vs Solihull Moors?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Worthing win (47%). Probabilities: Worthing 47%, draw 24%, Solihull Moors 29%.

How many goals are expected in Worthing vs Solihull Moors?

The model expects 3.51 goals (Worthing 1.98 · Solihull Moors 1.53), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Worthing vs Solihull Moors?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.