Football · England National League · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Wealdstone vs Yeovil

Team pages: Wealdstone · Yeovil

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Wealdstone1.57

Yeovil1.37

1X2

41% 26% 32%

Wealdstone Draw Yeovil

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Wealdstone 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLWLLWDL

Yeovil 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLLDWWDW

Head-to-head

Wealdstone 2–2–2 Yeovil (6 last)

Wealdstone0-2Yeovil
Yeovil0-2Wealdstone
Yeovil1-2Wealdstone
Wealdstone0-3Yeovil
Yeovil0-0Wealdstone
Wealdstone0-0Yeovil

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wealdstone 1492 · Yeovil 1547

	Wealdstone	Draw	Yeovil
Our model	41%	27%	32%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yeovil (rating 1492 vs 1547).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wealdstone	Yeovil
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	2.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.6	3.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.45 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.66
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:46 +2’	2.20	3.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:53 +475’	2.45	3.66	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wealdstone 2–2–2 Yeovil

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 England National League	Wealdstone	0-2 HT 0-1	Yeovil
04/11/25 England National League	Yeovil	0-2 HT 0-0	Wealdstone
15/02/25 England National League	Yeovil	1-2 HT 1-1	Wealdstone
19/10/24 England National League	Wealdstone	0-3 HT 0-1	Yeovil
31/01/23 England National League	Yeovil	0-0 HT 0-0	Wealdstone
29/08/22 England National League	Wealdstone	0-0 HT 0-0	Yeovil

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	12	10	2	0	32	13	32
2	Harrogate Town	12	8	1	3	28	17	25
3	Southend	12	7	3	2	29	18	24
4	Yeovil	12	6	4	2	26	15	22
5	Worthing	12	6	3	3	22	18	21
6	Altrincham	12	7	0	5	17	18	21
7	AFC Fylde	12	6	2	4	22	18	20
8	Kidderminster	12	5	4	3	15	12	19
9	Barrow	12	5	3	4	20	15	18
10	Aldershot	12	5	3	4	17	13	18
11	Sutton Utd	12	5	3	4	14	16	18
12	AFC Hornchurch	12	6	0	6	13	19	18
13	Halifax	12	5	2	5	18	14	17
14	Carlisle	12	4	4	4	23	20	16
15	Woking	12	4	3	5	20	19	15
16	Forest Green	11	4	3	4	17	18	15
17	Eastleigh	12	4	3	5	14	18	15
18	Tamworth	12	4	2	6	20	28	14
19	Wealdstone	12	3	3	6	17	18	12
20	Boston Utd	12	3	3	6	14	21	12
21	Scunthorpe	11	3	1	7	15	19	10
22	Hartlepool	12	3	0	9	8	17	9
23	Solihull Moors	12	2	1	9	13	30	7
24	Gateshead	12	1	1	10	7	27	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wealdstone	Yeovil
Barrow	1-2 L	2-1 W
Gateshead	4-0 W	3-0 W
Tamworth	1-2 L	3-2 W
Boston Utd	3-1 W	6-0 W
Kidderminster	1-4 L	1-0 W
Worthing	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Yeovil (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wealdstone

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Barrow England National League	1-1	1-2	3	9	L
29/09	Forest Green England National League	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
26/09	Gateshead England National League	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
19/09	Tamworth England National League	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
15/09	Halifax England National League	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
12/09	Boston Utd England National League	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
05/09	Kidderminster England National League	1-1	1-4	10	6	L
31/08	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
28/08	Carlisle England National League	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
22/08	Worthing England National League	0-1	0-1	5	5	L

Yeovil

WWWLLDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Boston Utd England National League	4-0	6-0	6	5	W
29/09	Worthing England National League	0-1	1-1	9	1	D
26/09	Kidderminster England National League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
18/09	Solihull Moors England National League	1-0	4-1	7	4	W
15/09	Aldershot England National League	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	AFC Fylde England National League	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
05/09	Southend England National League	1-0	2-3	2	4	L
31/08	Tamworth England National League	1-1	3-2	4	1	W
28/08	Barrow England National League	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
22/08	Gateshead England National League	1-0	3-0	7	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wealdstone vs Yeovil?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wealdstone win (41%). Probabilities: Wealdstone 41%, draw 26%, Yeovil 32%.

How many goals are expected in Wealdstone vs Yeovil?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Wealdstone 1.57 · Yeovil 1.37), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wealdstone vs Yeovil?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.