Prediction: AFC Fylde vs Scunthorpe
Team pages: AFC Fylde · Scunthorpe
| AFC Fylde | Draw | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| Market | 51% | 23% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Fylde (rating 1513 vs 1469).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AFC Fylde | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.3 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0 |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 18 |
| 13 | Halifax | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston Utd | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AFC Fylde | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Southend | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Carlisle | 0-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Harrogate Town | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Solihull Moors | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFC Fylde
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Southend England National League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/09 | Carlisle England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Altrincham England National League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 15/09 | Harrogate Town England National League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Yeovil England National League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Worthing England National League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Solihull Moors England National League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Forest Green England National League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Woking England National League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Scunthorpe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Barrow England National League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Hartlepool England National League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 16/09 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Sutton Utd England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Harrogate Town England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 31/08 | Carlisle England National League |
1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Solihull Moors England National League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Southend England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFC Fylde vs Scunthorpe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Fylde win (50%). Probabilities: AFC Fylde 50%, draw 24%, Scunthorpe 26%.
How many goals are expected in AFC Fylde vs Scunthorpe?
The model expects 3.29 goals (AFC Fylde 1.94 · Scunthorpe 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AFC Fylde vs Scunthorpe?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.