Football · England National League · 29/09, 20:45

Prediction: Halifax vs Boston Utd

Team pages: Halifax · Boston Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Halifax1.55

Boston Utd1.46

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Halifax Draw Boston Utd

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Halifax 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLWWD

Boston Utd 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLDLDW

Head-to-head

Halifax 4–1–1 Boston Utd (6 last)

Halifax2-1Boston Utd
Boston Utd0-1Halifax
Halifax1-0Boston Utd
Boston Utd0-1Halifax
Halifax1-2Boston Utd
Halifax0-0Boston Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Halifax 1548 · Boston Utd 1466

	Halifax	Draw	Boston Utd
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Halifax (rating 1548 vs 1466).
H2H favours Halifax: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Halifax	Boston Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.2	2.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:27 +10’	2.35	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Halifax 4–1–1 Boston Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 England National League	Halifax	2-1 HT 1-1	Boston Utd
19/08/25 England National League	Boston Utd	0-1 HT 0-1	Halifax
15/02/25 England National League	Halifax	1-0 HT 0-0	Boston Utd
19/10/24 England National League	Boston Utd	0-1 HT 0-1	Halifax
28/07/18 UK Friendlies	Halifax	1-2 HT 0-2	Boston Utd
04/03/17 England National League North	Halifax	0-0 HT 0-0	Boston Utd

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	9	7	2	0	23	11	23
2	Southend	9	6	2	1	23	12	20
3	Kidderminster	9	5	3	1	13	7	18
4	AFC Fylde	9	5	2	2	20	13	17
5	Harrogate Town	9	5	1	3	20	16	16
6	Sutton Utd	9	5	1	3	10	10	16
7	Yeovil	9	4	3	2	18	14	15
8	Aldershot	9	4	3	2	10	7	15
9	AFC Hornchurch	9	5	0	4	11	12	15
10	Altrincham	9	5	0	4	12	15	15
11	Worthing	9	4	2	3	17	15	14
12	Eastleigh	9	4	2	3	11	10	14
13	Halifax	9	4	1	4	14	11	13
14	Forest Green	9	4	1	4	13	14	13
15	Boston Utd	9	3	2	4	13	13	11
16	Carlisle	9	2	4	3	16	14	10
17	Barrow	9	2	3	4	11	12	9
18	Woking	9	2	3	4	10	12	9
19	Hartlepool	9	3	0	6	7	11	9
20	Wealdstone	9	2	2	5	11	15	8
21	Tamworth	9	2	2	5	16	23	8
22	Scunthorpe	9	2	1	6	11	15	7
23	Solihull Moors	9	1	1	7	9	23	4
24	Gateshead	9	1	1	7	6	20	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Halifax	Boston Utd
Wealdstone	1-0 W	1-3 L
AFC Hornchurch	3-0 W	2-3 L
Aldershot	0-1 L	0-1 L
Hartlepool	1-0 W	3-1 W
Altrincham	1-2 L	1-0 W
Tamworth	4-1 W	2-2 D
Boreham Wood	1-3 L	1-2 L
Forest Green	2-3 L	3-1 W
Woking	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Halifax

WLLWLWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Sutton Utd England National League	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
15/09	Wealdstone England National League	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
12/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
05/09	Aldershot England National League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
01/09	Hartlepool England National League	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
28/08	Altrincham England National League	0-2	1-2	4	4	L
22/08	Tamworth England National League	3-0	4-1	2	4	W
15/08	Boreham Wood England National League	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
08/08	Forest Green England National League	1-0	2-3	5	3	L
25/04	Woking England National League	0-0	1-0	5	7	W

Boston Utd

WLWWLLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Forest Green England National League	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
15/09	Woking England National League	1-0	1-1	9	3	D
12/09	Wealdstone England National League	1-1	1-3	8	4	L
05/09	Tamworth England National League	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
31/08	AFC Hornchurch England National League	2-1	2-3	10	2	L
27/08	Boreham Wood England National League	1-0	1-2	1	5	L
22/08	Altrincham England National League	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
15/08	Solihull Moors England National League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
08/08	Aldershot England National League	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
25/04	Hartlepool England National League	0-0	3-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Halifax vs Boston Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Halifax win (39%). Probabilities: Halifax 39%, draw 26%, Boston Utd 35%.

How many goals are expected in Halifax vs Boston Utd?

The model expects 3 goals (Halifax 1.55 · Boston Utd 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Halifax vs Boston Utd?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.