Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 18/07, 02:00
Prediction: Diriangen vs San Marcos FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Diriangen2.36
San Marcos FC0.52
1X2
Diriangen
Draw
San Marcos FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Diriangen
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
San Marcos FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diriangen 1543 · San Marcos FC 1558
| Diriangen | Draw | San Marcos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 16% | 6% |
| Market | 80% | 12% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Diriangen | San Marcos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 2.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 1 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 75/25/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 5.3 | 4.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 5.5 / 0.5 |
Standings · Nicaragua Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalapa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Walter Ferretti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Diriangen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Matagalpa FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Managua FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rancho Santana FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Esteli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | San Marcos FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UNAN Managua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diriangen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 4-0 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 16/04 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
San Marcos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Matiguas FC Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Matiguas FC Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Tigres de Chinandega Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 19/04 | Tigres de Chinandega Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Pumas Dario FC Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 08/04 | Pumas Dario FC Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | Tigres de Chinandega Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/03 | Catarina FC 1992 Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Bravos Primavera Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/03 | Blancos FC Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
– | 12-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diriangen vs San Marcos FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Diriangen win (79%). Probabilities: Diriangen 79%, draw 14%, San Marcos FC 7%.
How many goals are expected in Diriangen vs San Marcos FC?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Diriangen 2.36 · San Marcos FC 0.52), with a 59% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Diriangen vs San Marcos FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.