Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 19/07, 02:00
Prediction: Managua FC vs Rancho Santana FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Managua FC2.19
Rancho Santana FC0.87
1X2
Managua FC
Draw
Rancho Santana FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Managua FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Rancho Santana FC
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Managua FC
4–2–0
Rancho Santana FC
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Managua FC 1565 · Rancho Santana FC 1453
| Managua FC | Draw | Rancho Santana FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 21% | 13% |
| Market | 68% | 18% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Managua FC (rating 1565 vs 1453).
- H2H favours Managua FC: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Managua FC | Rancho Santana FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.7 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Managua FC 4–2–0 Rancho Santana FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Nicaragua Cup | Managua FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
| 06/07/26 Nicaragua Cup | Rancho Santana FC | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Managua FC |
| 06/03/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Managua FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
| 01/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Rancho Santana FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Managua FC |
| 20/10/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Rancho Santana FC | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Managua FC |
| 26/07/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Managua FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
Standings · Nicaragua Apertura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalapa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Walter Ferretti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Diriangen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Matagalpa FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Managua FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rancho Santana FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Esteli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | San Marcos FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UNAN Managua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Managua FC | Rancho Santana FC |
|---|---|---|
| UNAN Managua | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| CD Walter Ferretti | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Real Esteli | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Real Madriz FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Managua FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 06/07 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Cup |
0-0 | 3-2 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 30/04 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/04 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 09/04 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/03 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/03 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Rancho Santana FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Managua FC Nicaragua Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 06/07 | Managua FC Nicaragua Cup |
0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/04 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/04 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 13/04 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/04 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 20/03 | CD Santo Tomas del Norte Nicaragua Cup |
4-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/03 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/03 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Managua FC vs Rancho Santana FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Managua FC win (67%). Probabilities: Managua FC 67%, draw 19%, Rancho Santana FC 13%.
How many goals are expected in Managua FC vs Rancho Santana FC?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Managua FC 2.19 · Rancho Santana FC 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Managua FC vs Rancho Santana FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.