Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 24/07, 02:00

Prediction: CD Walter Ferretti vs Diriangen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

CD Walter Ferretti1.04

Diriangen1.84

1X2

20% 24% 55%

CD Walter Ferretti Draw Diriangen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CD Walter Ferretti 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDDWLDLL

Diriangen 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDDLDD

Head-to-head

CD Walter Ferretti 0–6 Diriangen (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Walter Ferretti 1459 · Diriangen 1548

	CD Walter Ferretti	Draw	Diriangen
Our model	20%	25%	55%
Market	21%	24%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diriangen (rating 1459 vs 1548).
H2H favours Diriangen: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Walter Ferretti	Diriangen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.9	0.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0	5.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.80

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:00 +5’	4.33	3.80	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Walter Ferretti 0–0–6 Diriangen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Nicaragua Clausura	CD Walter Ferretti	2-5 HT 2-3	Diriangen
03/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura	Diriangen	3-1 HT 2-0	CD Walter Ferretti
17/10/25 Nicaragua Apertura	Diriangen	3-0 HT 2-0	CD Walter Ferretti
17/04/25 Nicaragua Clausura	Diriangen	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Walter Ferretti
07/02/25 Nicaragua Clausura	CD Walter Ferretti	0-2 HT 0-2	Diriangen
03/11/24 Nicaragua Apertura	CD Walter Ferretti	0-2 HT 0-1	Diriangen

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HYH Export Sebaco FC	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
2	Managua FC	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	Jalapa	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
4	Diriangen	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
4	Real Esteli	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
4	San Marcos FC	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
4	UNAN Managua	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
8	Rancho Santana FC	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
9	CD Walter Ferretti	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
10	Matagalpa FC	1	0	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Walter Ferretti	Diriangen
Matagalpa FC	0-4 L	3-1 W
Real Esteli	4-2 W	1-1 D
Managua FC	1-1 D	1-4 L
HYH Export Sebaco FC	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Walter Ferretti (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CD Walter Ferretti

WLDDDWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
30/04	Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
26/04	Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
19/04	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura	0-2	0-4	3	7	L
16/04	Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura	3-1	4-2	0	5	W
13/04	Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura	0-0	1-1	7	10	D
10/04	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Clausura	0-0	0-0	7	11	D
14/03	Xilotepelt FC Nicaragua Cup	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
08/03	Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura	2-3	2-5	5	4	L
04/03	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Clausura	1-1	3-1	1	2	W

Diriangen

WWLWWDDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
12/07	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Cup	0-0	1-1	9	4	D
05/07	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Cup	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
17/05	Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura	0-0	1-1	0	8	D
10/05	Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
07/05	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura	1-0	3-1	4	6	W
03/05	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/04	Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura	1-2	1-4	10	5	L
20/04	Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura	1-0	4-0	15	3	W
16/04	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Clausura	2-0	2-0	0	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Walter Ferretti vs Diriangen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Diriangen win (55%). Probabilities: CD Walter Ferretti 20%, draw 24%, Diriangen 55%.

How many goals are expected in CD Walter Ferretti vs Diriangen?

The model expects 2.88 goals (CD Walter Ferretti 1.04 · Diriangen 1.84), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Walter Ferretti vs Diriangen?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.