Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 19/07, 03:00

Prediction: Matagalpa FC vs HYH Export Sebaco FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Matagalpa FC1.58
HYH Export Sebaco FC1.15
1X2
46% 26% 27%
Matagalpa FC Draw HYH Export Sebaco FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Matagalpa FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLWDWLLW
HYH Export Sebaco FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLWDWLLWWD
Head-to-head
Matagalpa FC 4–1–1 HYH Export Sebaco FC (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matagalpa FC 1517 · HYH Export Sebaco FC 1503
Matagalpa FCDrawHYH Export Sebaco FC
Our model46%27%27%
Market47%26%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Matagalpa FC: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Matagalpa FCHYH Export Sebaco FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.51.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.91.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 04.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Matagalpa FC 411 HYH Export Sebaco FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/02/26
Nicaragua Clausura
Matagalpa FC2-1
HT 0-1
HYH Export Sebaco FC
19/01/26
Nicaragua Clausura
HYH Export Sebaco FC0-1
HT 0-0
Matagalpa FC
27/11/25
Nicaragua Play-Offs
HYH Export Sebaco FC2-0
HT 0-0
Matagalpa FC
21/09/25
Nicaragua Apertura
HYH Export Sebaco FC0-0
HT 0-0
Matagalpa FC
17/07/25
Nicaragua Apertura
Matagalpa FC3-2
HT 1-1
HYH Export Sebaco FC
30/03/25
Nicaragua Clausura
Matagalpa FC5-2
HT 3-2
HYH Export Sebaco FC

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Jalapa 000 000
1 CD Walter Ferretti 000 000
1 HYH Export Sebaco FC 000 000
1 Diriangen 000 000
1 Matagalpa FC 000 000
1 Managua FC 000 000
1 Rancho Santana FC 000 000
1 Real Esteli 000 000
1 San Marcos FC 000 000
1 UNAN Managua 000 000

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMatagalpa FCHYH Export Sebaco FC
Jalapa 3-1 W 0-1 L
Diriangen 1-3 L 1-1 D
Real Esteli 0-0 D 2-3 L
CD Walter Ferretti 4-0 W 1-3 L
UNAN Managua 1-2 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Matagalpa FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matagalpa FC

LLDLWDWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Jalapa
Nicaragua Cup
2-0 3-1 34 W
07/05 Diriangen
Nicaragua Clausura
0-1 1-3 76 L
03/05 Diriangen
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 0-1 L
30/04 Managua FC
Nicaragua Clausura
1-0 4-2 54 W
26/04 Real Esteli
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 0-0 24 D
19/04 CD Walter Ferretti
Nicaragua Clausura
2-0 4-0 07 W
16/04 Managua FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 1-2 03 L
12/04 Jalapa
Nicaragua Clausura
1-0 1-1 13 D
09/04 Diriangen
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 2-3 58 L
08/03 UNAN Managua
Nicaragua Clausura
0-2 1-2 122 L

HYH Export Sebaco FC

LLWDWLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Diriangen
Nicaragua Cup
0-0 1-1 74 D
05/07 Diriangen
Nicaragua Cup
0-1 2-1 44 W
26/04 UNAN Managua
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 3-1 125 W
20/04 Real Esteli
Nicaragua Clausura
2-1 2-3 33 L
16/04 Diriangen
Nicaragua Clausura
0-2 0-2 36 L
13/04 Rancho Santana FC
Nicaragua Clausura
2-0 3-0 45 W
09/04 Real Madriz FC
Nicaragua Clausura
1-0 2-2 38 D
15/03 FC Esteli
Nicaragua Cup
1-0 2-0 93 W
08/03 Jalapa
Nicaragua Clausura
0-1 0-1 36 L
04/03 CD Walter Ferretti
Nicaragua Clausura
1-1 1-3 22 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matagalpa FC vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Matagalpa FC win (46%). Probabilities: Matagalpa FC 46%, draw 26%, HYH Export Sebaco FC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Matagalpa FC vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Matagalpa FC 1.58 · HYH Export Sebaco FC 1.15), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Matagalpa FC vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.