Prediction: Matagalpa FC vs HYH Export Sebaco FC
| Matagalpa FC | Draw | HYH Export Sebaco FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Matagalpa FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Matagalpa FC | HYH Export Sebaco FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 1.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matagalpa FC 4–1–1 HYH Export Sebaco FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Matagalpa FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 19/01/26 Nicaragua Clausura | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Matagalpa FC |
| 27/11/25 Nicaragua Play-Offs | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Matagalpa FC |
| 21/09/25 Nicaragua Apertura | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Matagalpa FC |
| 17/07/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Matagalpa FC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 30/03/25 Nicaragua Clausura | Matagalpa FC | 5-2 HT 3-2 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
Standings · Nicaragua Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalapa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Walter Ferretti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Diriangen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Matagalpa FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Managua FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rancho Santana FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Esteli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | San Marcos FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UNAN Managua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Matagalpa FC | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
|---|---|---|
| Jalapa | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Diriangen | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Real Esteli | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| CD Walter Ferretti | 4-0 W | 1-3 L |
| UNAN Managua | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Matagalpa FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matagalpa FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Jalapa Nicaragua Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/04 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 16/04 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 09/04 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 08/03 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Clausura |
0-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
HYH Export Sebaco FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Diriangen Nicaragua Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | Diriangen Nicaragua Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 20/04 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/04 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 15/03 | FC Esteli Nicaragua Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/03 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/03 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Clausura |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matagalpa FC vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Matagalpa FC win (46%). Probabilities: Matagalpa FC 46%, draw 26%, HYH Export Sebaco FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Matagalpa FC vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Matagalpa FC 1.58 · HYH Export Sebaco FC 1.15), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Matagalpa FC vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

