Prediction: Real Esteli vs UNAN Managua
| Real Esteli | Draw | UNAN Managua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 19% | 9% |
| Market | 73% | 17% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Esteli (rating 1547 vs 1437).
- H2H favours Real Esteli: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Esteli | UNAN Managua | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.4 | 0.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Esteli 4–2–0 UNAN Managua
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/26 Nicaragua Clausura | UNAN Managua | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Real Esteli |
| 25/01/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Real Esteli | 6-3 HT 1-2 | UNAN Managua |
| 28/09/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Real Esteli | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UNAN Managua |
| 23/07/25 Nicaragua Apertura | UNAN Managua | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Real Esteli |
| 02/05/25 Nicaragua Clausura | UNAN Managua | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Real Esteli |
| 23/02/25 Nicaragua Clausura | Real Esteli | 5-0 HT 3-0 | UNAN Managua |
Standings · Nicaragua Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalapa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Walter Ferretti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Diriangen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Matagalpa FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Managua FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rancho Santana FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Esteli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | San Marcos FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UNAN Managua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Esteli | UNAN Managua |
|---|---|---|
| Diriangen | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Jalapa | 3-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Matagalpa FC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| HYH Export Sebaco FC | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Managua FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Esteli (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Esteli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/04 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 16/04 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Clausura |
1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 09/04 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 19/03 | Juventus Managua Nicaragua Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
UNAN Managua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Matiguas FC Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 17/05 | Matiguas FC Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/04 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 13/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/04 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/03 | Managua FC Nicaragua Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/03 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/03 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Esteli vs UNAN Managua?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Esteli win (72%). Probabilities: Real Esteli 72%, draw 18%, UNAN Managua 10%.
How many goals are expected in Real Esteli vs UNAN Managua?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Real Esteli 2.24 · UNAN Managua 0.7), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Esteli vs UNAN Managua?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.