Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 19/07, 00:00

Prediction: Jalapa vs CD Walter Ferretti

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Jalapa1.53
CD Walter Ferretti1.25
1X2
43% 27% 30%
Jalapa Draw CD Walter Ferretti
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jalapa 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWWDWDLL
CD Walter Ferretti 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LWLDDDWLDL
Head-to-head
Jalapa 2–2–2 CD Walter Ferretti (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jalapa 1537 · CD Walter Ferretti 1483
JalapaDrawCD Walter Ferretti
Our model43%28%30%
Market43%27%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jalapa (rating 1537 vs 1483).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JalapaCD Walter Ferretti
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.31.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.22 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.25.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jalapa 222 CD Walter Ferretti

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/04/26
Nicaragua Clausura
Jalapa3-0
HT 0-0
CD Walter Ferretti
26/04/26
Nicaragua Clausura
Jalapa1-1
HT 0-0
CD Walter Ferretti
22/02/26
Nicaragua Clausura
CD Walter Ferretti0-0
HT 0-0
Jalapa
16/11/25
Nicaragua Apertura
CD Walter Ferretti3-1
HT 2-0
Jalapa
13/09/25
Nicaragua Apertura
Jalapa3-0
HT 3-0
CD Walter Ferretti
27/04/25
Nicaragua Clausura
CD Walter Ferretti2-1
HT 0-0
Jalapa

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Jalapa 000 000
1 CD Walter Ferretti 000 000
1 HYH Export Sebaco FC 000 000
1 Diriangen 000 000
1 Matagalpa FC 000 000
1 Managua FC 000 000
1 Rancho Santana FC 000 000
1 Real Esteli 000 000
1 San Marcos FC 000 000
1 UNAN Managua 000 000

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJalapaCD Walter Ferretti
Matagalpa FC 1-3 L 0-4 L
Real Esteli 1-3 L 4-2 W
Rancho Santana FC 4-3 W 0-0 D
Real Madriz FC 2-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jalapa (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jalapa

WWDWWDWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Matagalpa FC
Nicaragua Cup
0-2 1-3 34 L
07/05 Real Esteli
Nicaragua Clausura
1-2 1-3 58 L
03/05 Real Esteli
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 0-0 04 D
30/04 CD Walter Ferretti
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 3-0 43 W
26/04 CD Walter Ferretti
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 1-1 56 D
20/04 Rancho Santana FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-2 4-3 76 W
17/04 Real Madriz FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 2-0 53 W
12/04 Matagalpa FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-1 1-1 103 D
09/04 UNAN Managua
Nicaragua Clausura
3-1 4-2 65 W
18/03 Real Madriz FC
Nicaragua Cup
1-0 4-0 75 W

CD Walter Ferretti

LWLDDDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/04 Jalapa
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 0-3 13 L
26/04 Jalapa
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 1-1 26 D
19/04 Matagalpa FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-2 0-4 37 L
16/04 Real Esteli
Nicaragua Clausura
3-1 4-2 05 W
13/04 Managua FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 1-1 710 D
10/04 Rancho Santana FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 0-0 711 D
14/03 Xilotepelt FC
Nicaragua Cup
0-1 1-1 25 D
08/03 Diriangen
Nicaragua Clausura
2-3 2-5 54 L
04/03 HYH Export Sebaco FC
Nicaragua Clausura
1-1 3-1 12 W
02/03 Real Madriz FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 0-1 26 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jalapa vs CD Walter Ferretti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jalapa win (43%). Probabilities: Jalapa 43%, draw 27%, CD Walter Ferretti 30%.

How many goals are expected in Jalapa vs CD Walter Ferretti?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Jalapa 1.53 · CD Walter Ferretti 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jalapa vs CD Walter Ferretti?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.