Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 27/07, 02:00

Prediction: UNAN Managua vs Rancho Santana FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
UNAN Managua1.76
Rancho Santana FC1.11
1X2
52% 25% 23%
UNAN Managua Draw Rancho Santana FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
UNAN Managua 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLLDLWWD
Rancho Santana FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWDLWLWLLL
Head-to-head
UNAN Managua 1–2–3 Rancho Santana FC (6 last)
  • UNAN Managua0-2Rancho Santana FC
  • Rancho Santana FC1-3UNAN Managua
  • Rancho Santana FC2-1UNAN Managua
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UNAN Managua 1470 · Rancho Santana FC 1466
UNAN ManaguaDrawRancho Santana FC
Our model52%26%23%
Market52%25%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Rancho Santana FC: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UNAN ManaguaRancho Santana FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.61.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)0.5 / 3.51.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.46.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · UNAN Managua 123 Rancho Santana FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/04/26
Nicaragua Clausura
UNAN Managua0-2
HT 0-1
Rancho Santana FC
15/02/26
Nicaragua Clausura
Rancho Santana FC1-3
HT 1-1
UNAN Managua
02/11/25
Nicaragua Apertura
Rancho Santana FC2-1
HT 0-0
UNAN Managua
24/08/25
Nicaragua Apertura
UNAN Managua0-1
HT 0-0
Rancho Santana FC
30/03/25
Nicaragua Clausura
UNAN Managua1-1
HT 0-0
Rancho Santana FC
03/02/25
Nicaragua Clausura
Rancho Santana FC0-0
HT 0-0
UNAN Managua

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Diriangen 2110 424
2 HYH Export Sebaco FC 1100 303
3 Managua FC 1100 213
4 Jalapa 1100 103
5 Real Esteli 1010 111
5 San Marcos FC 1010 111
5 UNAN Managua 1010 111
8 Rancho Santana FC 1001 120
9 CD Walter Ferretti 2002 140
10 Matagalpa FC 1001 030

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUNAN ManaguaRancho Santana FC
Real Esteli 1-1 D 0-4 L
HYH Export Sebaco FC 1-3 L 0-3 L
Managua FC 1-1 D 1-2 L
Real Madriz FC 0-1 L 1-0 W
Jalapa 2-4 L 3-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: UNAN Managua (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UNAN Managua

WLLLLDLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Real Esteli
Nicaragua Apertura
0-1 1-1 21 D
24/05 Matiguas FC
Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs
0-1 2-1 310 W
17/05 Matiguas FC
Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs
0-0 1-0 W
26/04 HYH Export Sebaco FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 1-3 35 L
19/04 Managua FC
Nicaragua Clausura
1-1 1-1 D
16/04 Rancho Santana FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-1 0-2 77 L
13/04 Real Madriz FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 0-1 36 L
09/04 Jalapa
Nicaragua Clausura
1-3 2-4 45 L
19/03 Managua FC
Nicaragua Cup
0-0 1-2 33 L
08/03 Matagalpa FC
Nicaragua Clausura
2-0 2-1 32 W

Rancho Santana FC

LWDLWLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Managua FC
Nicaragua Apertura
1-1 1-2 27 L
12/07 Managua FC
Nicaragua Cup
0-1 0-2 28 L
06/07 Managua FC
Nicaragua Cup
0-0 2-3 16 L
26/04 Real Madriz FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 1-0 W
20/04 Jalapa
Nicaragua Clausura
2-0 3-4 26 L
16/04 UNAN Managua
Nicaragua Clausura
1-0 2-0 107 W
13/04 HYH Export Sebaco FC
Nicaragua Clausura
0-2 0-3 35 L
10/04 CD Walter Ferretti
Nicaragua Clausura
0-0 0-0 411 D
20/03 CD Santo Tomas del Norte
Nicaragua Cup
4-0 7-0 52 W
09/03 Real Esteli
Nicaragua Clausura
0-2 0-4 46 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UNAN Managua vs Rancho Santana FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UNAN Managua win (52%). Probabilities: UNAN Managua 52%, draw 25%, Rancho Santana FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in UNAN Managua vs Rancho Santana FC?

The model expects 2.88 goals (UNAN Managua 1.76 · Rancho Santana FC 1.11), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in UNAN Managua vs Rancho Santana FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.