Football · China Super League Women · 14/07, 13:35
Prediction: Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) vs Changchun Dazhong (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)1.05
Changchun Dazhong (W)1.02
1X2
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
Draw
Changchun Dazhong (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Changchun Dazhong (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
1–1–4
Changchun Dazhong (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 1467 · Changchun Dazhong (W) 1476
| Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | Draw | Changchun Dazhong (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 33% | 33% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Changchun Dazhong (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | Changchun Dazhong (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/44/33% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 2.1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 1–1–4 Changchun Dazhong (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/25 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) |
| 09/03/25 China Super League Women | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Changchun Dazhong (W) |
| 28/09/24 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) |
| 21/06/24 China Super League Women | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Changchun Dazhong (W) |
| 03/09/23 China Super League Women | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 1-2 | Changchun Dazhong (W) |
| 16/04/23 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) |
Standings · China Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 27 |
| 2 | Beijing (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Shanghai (W) | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Jiangsu Suning (W) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 9 |
| 8 | Guangdong (W) | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 10 | Shandong (W) | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | Changchun Dazhong (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Suning (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Shandong (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Shanghai (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Guangdong (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Beijing (W) | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Changchun Dazhong (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Shanghai (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/09 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Changchun Dazhong (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/06 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/06 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Shanghai (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 28/09 | Yongchuan Chashan (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) vs Changchun Dazhong (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) win (35%). Probabilities: Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 35%, draw 31%, Changchun Dazhong (W) 34%.
How many goals are expected in Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) vs Changchun Dazhong (W)?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 1.05 · Changchun Dazhong (W) 1.02), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) vs Changchun Dazhong (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.