Prediction: Altrincham vs Eastleigh

Team pages: Altrincham · Eastleigh

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Altrincham1.51
Eastleigh1.22
1X2
43% 27% 30%
Altrincham Draw Eastleigh
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Altrincham 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
DLLWWWLLLW
Eastleigh 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LDWLDWWLWW
Head-to-head
Altrincham 4–2 Eastleigh (6 last)
  • Altrincham1-0Eastleigh
  • Eastleigh2-1Altrincham
  • Altrincham1-0Eastleigh
  • Eastleigh1-2Altrincham
  • Altrincham0-1Eastleigh
  • Altrincham4-0Eastleigh
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Altrincham 1471 · Eastleigh 1462
AltrinchamDrawEastleigh
Our model43%28%30%
Market43%27%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Altrincham: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AltrinchamEastleigh
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.21.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.22.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.34.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Altrincham 402 Eastleigh

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
England National League
Altrincham1-0
HT 1-0
Eastleigh
30/08/25
England National League
Eastleigh2-1
HT 0-1
Altrincham
01/02/25
England FA Trophy
Altrincham1-0
HT 0-0
Eastleigh
18/01/25
England National League
Eastleigh1-2
HT 1-1
Altrincham
24/08/24
England National League
Altrincham0-1
HT 0-0
Eastleigh
27/01/24
England National League
Altrincham4-0
HT 2-0
Eastleigh

Standings · England National League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sutton Utd 4400 7112
2 Boreham Wood 4310 11510
3 Southend 4301 859
4 AFC Hornchurch 4301 759
5 Eastleigh 4301 649
6 Yeovil 4220 738
7 Harrogate Town 4211 1187
8 AFC Fylde 4211 867
9 Aldershot 4211 537
10 Kidderminster 4211 557
11 Boston Utd 4202 436
11 Hartlepool 4202 436
13 Worthing 4202 776
14 Forest Green 4202 586
15 Carlisle 4121 865
16 Scunthorpe 4112 664
17 Tamworth 4112 8114
18 Halifax 4103 893
19 Altrincham 4103 363
19 Gateshead 4103 363
21 Woking 4103 383
22 Wealdstone 4022 472
23 Barrow 4013 481
24 Solihull Moors 4004 4130

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAltrinchamEastleigh
Gateshead 3-1 W 2-1 W
Woking 1-1 D 3-3 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Altrincham (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Altrincham

DLLWWWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Halifax
England National League
2-0 2-1 44 W
22/08 Boston Utd
England National League
0-0 0-1 63 L
15/08 Sutton Utd
England National League
0-1 0-1 63 L
08/08 Southend
England National League
1-1 1-3 15 L
25/04 Gateshead
England National League
2-1 3-1 10 W
18/04 Sutton Utd
England National League
0-1 2-1 16 W
11/04 Eastleigh
England National League
1-0 1-0 61 W
06/04 York
England National League
1-1 1-2 13 L
03/04 Halifax
England National League
0-0 0-1 56 L
31/03 Woking
England National League
1-0 1-1 18 D

Eastleigh

LDWLDWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Hartlepool
England National League
0-0 1-0 66 W
22/08 Scunthorpe
England National League
1-0 3-2 61 W
15/08 Kidderminster
England National League
0-0 0-1 26 L
08/08 Gateshead
England National League
1-0 2-1 52 W
25/04 Scunthorpe
England National League
1-0 1-0 34 W
18/04 Tamworth
England National League
1-1 1-1 66 D
11/04 Altrincham
England National League
0-1 0-1 71 L
06/04 Yeovil
England National League
1-0 2-1 62 W
03/04 Woking
England National League
1-1 3-3 45 D
28/03 Forest Green
England National League
2-1 2-4 49 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Altrincham vs Eastleigh?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Altrincham win (43%). Probabilities: Altrincham 43%, draw 27%, Eastleigh 30%.

How many goals are expected in Altrincham vs Eastleigh?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Altrincham 1.51 · Eastleigh 1.22), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Altrincham vs Eastleigh?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.