Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 13/10, 19:00

Prediction: Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK

Team pages: Pendikspor · Vanspor FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Pendikspor1.88

Vanspor FK1.02

1X2

56% 25% 19%

Pendikspor Draw Vanspor FK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Pendikspor 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWDLWDDL

Vanspor FK 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLDDLL

Head-to-head

Pendikspor 0–2–2 Vanspor FK (4 last)

Pendikspor1-1Vanspor FK
Vanspor FK1-1Pendikspor
Vanspor FK2-0Pendikspor
Pendikspor3-5Vanspor FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pendikspor 1471 · Vanspor FK 1434

	Pendikspor	Draw	Vanspor FK
Our model	56%	24%	19%
Market	56%	25%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vanspor FK: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pendikspor	Vanspor FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	0.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.1	2.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.60

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.60▼	Pinn 1.68
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.87 ★
2	4.50 → 4.75▲	Pinn 4.85

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:58 +24’	1.61	3.50	4.50
14:59 +7’	1.60▼	3.60▲	4.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:14 +66’	1.66	3.82	4.78
02:03 +3’	1.65▼	3.85▲	4.87▲
17:37 +31’	1.66▲	3.82▼	4.78▼
19:02 +6’	1.68▲	3.87▲	4.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pendikspor 0–2–2 Vanspor FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Türkiye 1 Lig	Pendikspor	1-1 HT 1-1	Vanspor FK
18/10/25 Türkiye 1 Lig	Vanspor FK	1-1 HT 1-0	Pendikspor
18/03/21 Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi	Vanspor FK	2-0 HT 0-0	Pendikspor
14/11/20 Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi	Pendikspor	3-5 HT 0-2	Vanspor FK

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kayserispor	9	7	1	1	18	5	22
2	Bursaspor	9	6	1	2	17	9	19
3	76 Igdir Belediyespor	9	6	1	2	14	8	19
4	Keciorengucu	9	4	4	1	19	10	16
5	Batman Petrolspor	9	5	1	3	16	15	16
6	Mardin 1969	9	4	3	2	11	6	15
7	Antalyaspor	9	5	0	4	15	13	15
8	Sariyer	9	4	3	2	12	10	15
9	Bandirmaspor	9	3	4	2	14	5	13
10	Fatih Karagumruk	9	3	4	2	13	12	13
11	Muglaspor	9	2	6	1	9	8	12
12	Sivasspor	9	2	5	2	13	12	11
13	Pendikspor	9	2	4	3	11	17	10
14	Manisa BBSK	9	2	3	4	14	15	9
15	Bodrum FK	9	1	5	3	7	8	8
16	Esenler Erokspor	9	1	5	3	5	10	8
17	Umraniyespor	9	1	4	4	7	10	7
18	Istanbulspor	9	1	2	6	7	20	5
19	Vanspor FK	9	1	3	5	8	19	4
20	Boluspor	9	0	1	8	3	21	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pendikspor	Vanspor FK
Bandirmaspor	1-1 D	0-2 L
Antalyaspor	3-2 W	0-3 L
Keciorengucu	1-4 L	1-1 D
Batman Petrolspor	2-2 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Pendikspor (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pendikspor

LDLWDLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-4	5	5	L
20/09	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
12/09	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
05/09	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
01/09	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
28/08	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
22/08	Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
16/08	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
10/08	Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
07/05	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-2	4	5	L

Vanspor FK

LLLWDLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
20/09	Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
12/09	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
06/09	Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	2-2	5	7	D
02/09	Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
29/08	Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
23/08	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-2	3-2	–	–	W
15/08	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-3	1-4	–	–	L
09/08	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
01/05	Hatayspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-3	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pendikspor win (56%). Probabilities: Pendikspor 56%, draw 25%, Vanspor FK 19%.

How many goals are expected in Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Pendikspor 1.88 · Vanspor FK 1.02), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.