Football · Japan Regional League · 12/07, 06:00

Prediction: Aries Toshima FC vs Toho Titanium

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Aries Toshima FC0.89
Toho Titanium1.69
1X2
20% 24% 56%
Aries Toshima FC Draw Toho Titanium
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aries Toshima FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWLLLDWWWW
Toho Titanium 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWDWDWWW
Head-to-head
Aries Toshima FC 0–2 Toho Titanium (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aries Toshima FC 1511 · Toho Titanium 1590
Aries Toshima FCDrawToho Titanium
Our model19%26%55%
Market21%22%57%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toho Titanium (rating 1511 vs 1590).
  • H2H favours Toho Titanium: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Aries Toshima FCToho Titanium
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.42 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.8 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.82.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.31.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aries Toshima FC 002 Toho Titanium

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
Japan Regional League
Toho Titanium4-0
HT 0-0
Aries Toshima FC
31/08/25
Japan Regional League
Toho Titanium1-0
HT 1-0
Aries Toshima FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAries Toshima FCToho Titanium
Nihon University 4-1 W 2-0 W
Nankatsu SC 2-1 W 1-1 D
Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 2-1 W 4-0 W
Tokyo 23 FC 1-1 D 0-0 D
Shibuya City FC 0-2 L 2-0 W
Toin Yokohama University 1-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 1 L 4 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aries Toshima FC

LWLLLDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Nihon University
Japan Regional League
2-0 4-1 41 W
07/06 EDO ALL United
Japan Regional League
2-1 3-2 22 W
30/05 Nankatsu SC
Japan Regional League
1-0 2-1 59 W
17/05 Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Japan Regional League
1-1 2-1 105 W
05/05 Tokyo 23 FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-1 22 D
18/04 Tokyo United FC
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-1 42 L
12/04 Shibuya City FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-2 51 L
04/04 Toho Titanium
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-4 83 L
20/09 Toin Yokohama University
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-0 31 W
14/09 Nihon University
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-1 54 L

Toho Titanium

WWWWDWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Shibuya City FC
Japan Regional League
2-0 2-0 00 W
07/06 Nihon University
Japan Regional League
1-0 2-0 41 W
30/05 Toin Yokohama University
Japan Regional League
0-0 2-1 43 W
05/05 Nankatsu SC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-1 53 D
19/04 Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Japan Regional League
1-0 4-0 60 W
11/04 Tokyo 23 FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-0 83 D
04/04 Aries Toshima FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 4-0 123 W
14/09 Tsukuba FC
Japan Regional League
1-1 2-1 102 W
06/09 Vonds Ichihara
Japan Regional League
2-0 2-0 64 W
31/08 Aries Toshima FC
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-0 12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aries Toshima FC vs Toho Titanium?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Toho Titanium win (56%). Probabilities: Aries Toshima FC 20%, draw 24%, Toho Titanium 56%.

How many goals are expected in Aries Toshima FC vs Toho Titanium?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Aries Toshima FC 0.89 · Toho Titanium 1.69), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Aries Toshima FC vs Toho Titanium?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.