Football · Japan Regional League · 19/07, 10:00

Prediction: Ryutsu Keizai Dragons vs Nihon University

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Ryutsu Keizai Dragons1.38

Nihon University1.95

1X2

26% 24% 50%

Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Draw Nihon University

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Nihon University 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 0–3 Nihon University (3 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 1389 · Nihon University 1467

	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons	Draw	Nihon University
Our model	26%	24%	50%
Market	26%	24%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nihon University (rating 1389 vs 1467).
H2H favours Nihon University: 3-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons	Nihon University
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.5	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	30/0/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4	2.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.2	1.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.80

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:12 +3’	3.40	3.80	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 0–0–3 Nihon University

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Japan Regional League	Nihon University	2-0 HT 1-0	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
07/09/25 Japan Regional League	Nihon University	3-2 HT 1-2	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
01/06/25 Japan Regional League	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons	3-5 HT 3-2	Nihon University

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons	Nihon University
Toin Yokohama University	0-2 L	2-3 L
EDO ALL United	1-2 L	2-2 D
Nankatsu SC	2-2 D	0-2 L
Tokyo 23 FC	0-2 L	1-2 L
Aries Toshima FC	1-2 L	1-4 L
Toho Titanium	0-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Nihon University (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ryutsu Keizai Dragons

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
05/07	EDO ALL United Japan Regional League	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
28/06	Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League	2-2	2-2	3	1	D
17/06	Nihon University Japan Regional League	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
07/06	Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League	1-2	2-4	2	4	L
31/05	Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
17/05	Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League	1-1	1-2	1	5	L
19/04	Toho Titanium Japan Regional League	0-1	0-4	2	0	L
21/09	Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
14/09	Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League	0-1	2-3	11	3	L

Nihon University

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League	1-0	1-2	9	1	L
05/07	Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League	0-2	1-4	10	1	L
17/06	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
07/06	Toho Titanium Japan Regional League	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
16/05	Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League	0-3	2-3	8	0	L
04/05	EDO ALL United Japan Regional League	0-1	2-2	1	0	D
19/04	Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
05/04	Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
14/09	Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
07/09	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League	1-2	3-2	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ryutsu Keizai Dragons vs Nihon University?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nihon University win (50%). Probabilities: Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 26%, draw 24%, Nihon University 50%.

How many goals are expected in Ryutsu Keizai Dragons vs Nihon University?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 1.38 · Nihon University 1.95), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ryutsu Keizai Dragons vs Nihon University?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.