Football · Japan Regional League · 12/07, 11:00

Prediction: Tokyo 23 FC vs Nihon University

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Tokyo 23 FC1.93
Nihon University1.19
1X2
54% 24% 22%
Tokyo 23 FC Draw Nihon University
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tokyo 23 FC 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
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Nihon University 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Tokyo 23 FC 1–1–0 Nihon University (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tokyo 23 FC 1474 · Nihon University 1469
Tokyo 23 FCDrawNihon University
Our model54%24%22%
Market54%24%22%
Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tokyo 23 FCNihon University
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.61.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.60.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%20/0/80%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 52 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.11.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo 23 FC 110 Nihon University

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
Japan Regional League
Nihon University1-1
HT 0-1
Tokyo 23 FC
31/08/25
Japan Regional League
Tokyo 23 FC5-1
HT 2-0
Nihon University

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTokyo 23 FCNihon University
Toin Yokohama University 0-1 L 2-3 L
EDO ALL United 1-3 L 2-2 D
Nankatsu SC 3-3 D 0-2 L
Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 2-0 W 2-0 W
Aries Toshima FC 1-1 D 1-4 L
Toho Titanium 0-0 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Tokyo 23 FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tokyo 23 FC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Toin Yokohama University
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-1 73 L
28/06 EDO ALL United
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-3 66 L
07/06 Nankatsu SC
Japan Regional League
0-2 3-3 74 D
31/05 Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Japan Regional League
0-0 2-0 31 W
16/05 Tokyo United FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-1 33 D
05/05 Aries Toshima FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-1 42 D
11/04 Toho Titanium
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-0 63 D
05/04 Nihon University
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-1 42 D
21/09 Tokyo United FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-1 43 L
13/09 Nankatsu SC
Japan Regional League
0-4 1-5 64 L

Nihon University

LWWDLDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Aries Toshima FC
Japan Regional League
0-2 1-4 101 L
17/06 Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Japan Regional League
1-0 2-0 42 W
07/06 Toho Titanium
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-2 51 L
16/05 Toin Yokohama University
Japan Regional League
0-3 2-3 80 L
04/05 EDO ALL United
Japan Regional League
0-1 2-2 10 D
19/04 Nankatsu SC
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-2 44 L
05/04 Tokyo 23 FC
Japan Regional League
0-1 1-1 92 D
14/09 Aries Toshima FC
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-0 44 W
07/09 Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Japan Regional League
1-2 3-2 62 W
31/08 Tokyo 23 FC
Japan Regional League
0-2 1-5 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tokyo 23 FC vs Nihon University?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tokyo 23 FC win (54%). Probabilities: Tokyo 23 FC 54%, draw 24%, Nihon University 22%.

How many goals are expected in Tokyo 23 FC vs Nihon University?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Tokyo 23 FC 1.93 · Nihon University 1.19), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tokyo 23 FC vs Nihon University?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.