Football · Japan Regional League · 18/07, 11:00

Prediction: Nippon Steel Oita vs Brew Saga

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Nippon Steel Oita1.16
Brew Saga1.51
1X2
29% 27% 44%
Nippon Steel Oita Draw Brew Saga
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nippon Steel Oita 0-5-5 (W-D-L)
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Brew Saga 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLLDWDWL
Head-to-head
Nippon Steel Oita 0–1 Brew Saga (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nippon Steel Oita 1436 · Brew Saga 1469
Nippon Steel OitaDrawBrew Saga
Our model28%28%44%
Market29%26%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nippon Steel OitaBrew Saga
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 2.10.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)0.9 / 3.63.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.1 / 0.12 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nippon Steel Oita 001 Brew Saga

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/06/25
Japan Regional League
Nippon Steel Oita0-2
HT 0-1
Brew Saga

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNippon Steel OitaBrew Saga
Nobeoka Agata 2-3 L 0-2 L
Mitsubishi Nagasaki SC 1-1 D 1-0 W
Kawasoe Club 1-1 D 0-0 D
NIFS Kanoya FC 0-0 D 1-0 W
Nexus Miyakonojo 0-1 L 2-2 D
KMG Holdings 0-5 L 2-4 L
Veroskronos Tsuno 0-5 L 0-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 4 L 2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Brew Saga (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nippon Steel Oita

LDLLLDDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Nobeoka Agata
Japan Regional League
1-1 2-3 22 L
27/06 MHI Nagasaki
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-1 52 D
27/06 Mitsubishi Nagasaki SC
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-1 52 D
14/06 Kawasoe Club
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-1 05 D
13/06 NIFS Kanoya FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-0 41 D
31/05 Nexus Miyakonojo
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-1 23 L
24/05 KMG Holdings
Japan Regional League
0-2 0-5 12 L
19/04 Veroskronos Tsuno
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-5 13 L
12/04 CA Celeste
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-1 121 D
04/04 Mitsubishi Nagasaki SC
Japan Regional League
0-2 2-3 41 L

Brew Saga

LLDLLDWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Nobeoka Agata
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-2 91 L
28/06 Mitsubishi Nagasaki SC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-0 11 W
27/06 Kawasoe Club
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-0 62 D
14/06 NIFS Kanoya FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-0 101 W
13/06 Nexus Miyakonojo
Japan Regional League
2-0 2-2 70 D
31/05 KMG Holdings
Japan Regional League
1-1 2-4 26 L
24/05 Veroskronos Tsuno
Japan Regional League
0-3 0-4 42 L
04/04 Kawasoe Club
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-0 131 D
07/09 NIFS Kanoya FC
Japan Regional League
0-1 1-3 62 L
06/09 J-Lease FC
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-3 58 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nippon Steel Oita vs Brew Saga?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brew Saga win (44%). Probabilities: Nippon Steel Oita 29%, draw 27%, Brew Saga 44%.

How many goals are expected in Nippon Steel Oita vs Brew Saga?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Nippon Steel Oita 1.16 · Brew Saga 1.51), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nippon Steel Oita vs Brew Saga?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.