Football · Japan Regional League · 19/07, 11:00
Prediction: Nankatsu SC vs Toin Yokohama University
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Nankatsu SC1.77
Toin Yokohama University1.23
1X2
Nankatsu SC
Draw
Toin Yokohama University
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nankatsu SC
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Toin Yokohama University
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nankatsu SC
3–2–1
Toin Yokohama University
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nankatsu SC 1540 · Toin Yokohama University 1507
| Nankatsu SC | Draw | Toin Yokohama University | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nankatsu SC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nankatsu SC | Toin Yokohama University | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.2 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.4 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nankatsu SC 3–2–1 Toin Yokohama University
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Japan Regional League | Toin Yokohama University | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nankatsu SC |
| 24/08/25 Japan Regional League | Toin Yokohama University | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Nankatsu SC |
| 04/05/25 Japan Regional League | Nankatsu SC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Toin Yokohama University |
| 25/08/24 Japan Regional League | Toin Yokohama University | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Nankatsu SC |
| 05/05/24 Japan Regional League | Nankatsu SC | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Toin Yokohama University |
| 30/07/23 Japan Regional League | Nankatsu SC | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Toin Yokohama University |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nankatsu SC | Toin Yokohama University |
|---|---|---|
| EDO ALL United | 4-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Tokyo United FC | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Ryutsu Keizai Dragons | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Tokyo 23 FC | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| Shibuya City FC | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Toho Titanium | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Nihon University | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nankatsu SC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nankatsu SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | EDO ALL United Japan Regional League |
1-2 | 4-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 05/07 | Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 07/06 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Toho Titanium Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Nihon University Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/09 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Toin Yokohama University
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Toho Titanium Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Nihon University Japan Regional League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | EDO ALL United Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 20/12 | Niigata University H&W Japan University Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/12 | Hiroshima University Japan University Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nankatsu SC vs Toin Yokohama University?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nankatsu SC win (49%). Probabilities: Nankatsu SC 49%, draw 25%, Toin Yokohama University 26%.
How many goals are expected in Nankatsu SC vs Toin Yokohama University?
The model expects 3 goals (Nankatsu SC 1.77 · Toin Yokohama University 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Nankatsu SC vs Toin Yokohama University?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.