Football · Japan Regional League · 19/07, 09:00

Prediction: Toho Titanium vs Tokyo 23 FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

Toho Titanium1.62

Tokyo 23 FC0.76

1X2

58% 25% 17%

Toho Titanium Draw Tokyo 23 FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Toho Titanium 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

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Tokyo 23 FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Toho Titanium 1–1–3 Tokyo 23 FC (5 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Toho Titanium 1603 · Tokyo 23 FC 1483

	Toho Titanium	Draw	Tokyo 23 FC
Our model	57%	27%	16%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toho Titanium (rating 1603 vs 1483).
H2H favours Tokyo 23 FC: 3-1-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Toho Titanium	Tokyo 23 FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.3	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.1	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.1	2.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.80

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:11 +4’	1.53	3.80	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Toho Titanium 1–1–3 Tokyo 23 FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Japan Regional League	Tokyo 23 FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Toho Titanium
26/07/25 Japan Regional League	Toho Titanium	1-0 HT 0-0	Tokyo 23 FC
20/04/25 Japan Regional League	Tokyo 23 FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Toho Titanium
21/09/24 Japan Regional League	Toho Titanium	0-1 HT 0-0	Tokyo 23 FC
29/06/24 Japan Regional League	Tokyo 23 FC	3-1 HT 1-0	Toho Titanium

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Toho Titanium	Tokyo 23 FC
Aries Toshima FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Nihon University	2-0 W	2-1 W
Toin Yokohama University	2-1 W	0-1 L
Nankatsu SC	1-1 D	3-3 D
Ryutsu Keizai Dragons	4-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Toho Titanium (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Toho Titanium

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
05/07	Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League	2-0	2-0	0	0	W
07/06	Nihon University Japan Regional League	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
30/05	Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
05/05	Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
19/04	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League	1-0	4-0	6	0	W
11/04	Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
04/04	Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League	0-0	4-0	12	3	W
14/09	Tsukuba FC Japan Regional League	1-1	2-1	10	2	W
06/09	Vonds Ichihara Japan Regional League	2-0	2-0	6	4	W

Tokyo 23 FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Nihon University Japan Regional League	0-1	2-1	0	1	W
04/07	Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
28/06	EDO ALL United Japan Regional League	1-0	1-3	6	6	L
07/06	Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League	0-2	3-3	7	4	D
31/05	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
16/05	Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
05/05	Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
11/04	Toho Titanium Japan Regional League	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
05/04	Nihon University Japan Regional League	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
21/09	Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Toho Titanium vs Tokyo 23 FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Toho Titanium win (58%). Probabilities: Toho Titanium 58%, draw 25%, Tokyo 23 FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Toho Titanium vs Tokyo 23 FC?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Toho Titanium 1.62 · Tokyo 23 FC 0.76), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Toho Titanium vs Tokyo 23 FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.