Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 12/10, 19:00

Prediction: Eyupspor vs Goztepe

Team pages: Eyupspor · Goztepe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Eyupspor1.18

Goztepe1.72

1X2

25% 26% 49%

Eyupspor Draw Goztepe

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Eyupspor 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWDLLWLLL

Goztepe 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLDLLLDD

Head-to-head

Eyupspor 1–3–2 Goztepe (6 last)

Goztepe0-0Eyupspor
Eyupspor0-0Goztepe
Goztepe1-1Eyupspor
Eyupspor1-0Goztepe
Eyupspor0-3Goztepe
Goztepe5-1Eyupspor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eyupspor 1462 · Goztepe 1493

	Eyupspor	Draw	Goztepe
Our model	25%	26%	49%
Market	25%	26%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Goztepe: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eyupspor	Goztepe
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2	1.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	56/11/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.6	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.70

X3.50

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 15:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.70▲	Pinn 3.83
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.73 ★
2	1.95 → 1.90▼	Pinn 1.95

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 8.2% Pinnacle margin 4.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:12 +2’	3.60	3.50	1.95
07:16 +9’	3.70▲	3.50	1.90▼
07:10 +9’	3.60▼	3.50	1.95▲
14:43 +17’	3.70▲	3.50	1.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:23 +412’	3.62	3.57	1.82
06:32 +53’	3.92▲	3.75▲	1.88▲
12:00 +118’	3.91▼	3.76▲	1.88
13:56 +286’	3.90▼	3.74▼	1.89▲
05:35 +2’	3.84▼	3.72▼	1.91▲
06:14 +7’	3.64▼	3.65▼	1.99▲
07:03 +17’	3.58▼	3.62▼	2.02▲
13:06 +114’	3.86▲	3.72▲	1.91▼
16:10 +82’	3.85▼	3.71▼	1.91
19:03 +4’	3.83▼	3.73▲	1.95▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eyupspor 1–3–2 Goztepe

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Türkiye Super Lig	Goztepe	0-0 HT 0-0	Eyupspor
27/09/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Eyupspor	0-0 HT 0-0	Goztepe
16/03/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Goztepe	1-1 HT 0-0	Eyupspor
19/10/24 Türkiye Super Lig	Eyupspor	1-0 HT 1-0	Goztepe
04/05/24 Türkiye 1 Lig	Eyupspor	0-3 HT 0-1	Goztepe
20/12/23 Türkiye 1 Lig	Goztepe	5-1 HT 2-1	Eyupspor

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	16	11	16
2	Amedspor	7	4	2	1	17	9	14
3	Fenerbahce	7	4	1	2	19	6	13
4	Trabzonspor	7	4	1	2	16	5	13
5	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	14	7	12
6	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7	4	12
7	Alanyaspor	7	3	3	1	8	6	12
8	Kasimpasa	7	2	4	1	8	8	10
9	Caykur Rizespor	7	3	1	3	7	9	10
10	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	6	2	2	2	7	7	8
11	Genclerbirligi	7	2	2	3	7	15	8
12	Erzurumspor FK	7	2	2	3	3	11	8
13	Corum Belediyespor	6	2	1	3	13	12	7
14	Istanbul Basaksehir	6	2	1	3	10	11	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	4	8	4
16	Samsunspor	7	1	1	5	6	15	4
17	Goztepe	6	0	3	3	11	15	3
18	Eyupspor	6	1	0	5	2	16	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eyupspor	Goztepe
Caykur Rizespor	0-2 L	2-2 D
Alanyaspor	2-1 W	2-2 D
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	0-1 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Eyupspor (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eyupspor

WDWDLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig	0-5	0-8	6	2	L
12/09	Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
06/09	Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
30/08	Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-1	2-1	1	4	W
23/08	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
16/08	Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
17/05	Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig	2-0	3-3	0	7	D
09/05	Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig	3-0	4-0	3	0	W
03/05	Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-1	3	0	D
25/04	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	3-0	6	4	W

Goztepe

WDWLDLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
12/09	Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
07/09	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig	0-4	2-4	8	6	L
29/08	Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig	1-1	2-3	2	4	L
23/08	Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig	–	0-1	–	–	L
17/08	Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-2	3-3	8	4	D
16/05	Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-3	4	7	L
09/05	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
02/05	Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-1	3	10	D
25/04	Antalyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	2-0	2-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eyupspor vs Goztepe?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Goztepe win (49%). Probabilities: Eyupspor 25%, draw 26%, Goztepe 49%.

How many goals are expected in Eyupspor vs Goztepe?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Eyupspor 1.18 · Goztepe 1.72), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Eyupspor vs Goztepe?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.