Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 11/10, 12:30
Prediction: Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir
Team pages: Konyaspor · Istanbul Basaksehir
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Konyaspor1.42
Istanbul Basaksehir1.42
1X2
Konyaspor
Draw
Istanbul Basaksehir
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Konyaspor
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Istanbul Basaksehir
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Konyaspor
3–3
Istanbul Basaksehir
(6 last)
- Istanbul Basaksehir2-0Konyaspor
- Konyaspor2-1Istanbul Basaksehir
- Istanbul Basaksehir1-0Konyaspor
- Konyaspor3-2Istanbul Basaksehir
- Konyaspor2-3Istanbul Basaksehir
- Istanbul Basaksehir0-1Konyaspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Konyaspor 1426 · Istanbul Basaksehir 1523
| Konyaspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Istanbul Basaksehir (rating 1426 vs 1523).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Konyaspor | Istanbul Basaksehir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.3 | 2.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Konyaspor 3–0–3 Istanbul Basaksehir
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Istanbul Basaksehir | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Konyaspor |
| 28/09/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Konyaspor | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 05/04/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Istanbul Basaksehir | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Konyaspor |
| 03/11/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Konyaspor | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 28/01/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Konyaspor | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 02/09/23 Türkiye Super Lig | Istanbul Basaksehir | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Konyaspor |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amedspor | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Galatasaray | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 3 | Besiktas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Kocaelispor | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Trabzonspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Kasimpasa | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Caykur Rizespor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 10 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Corum Belediyespor | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 7 |
| 12 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 7 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 17 | Goztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 3 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Konyaspor | Istanbul Basaksehir |
|---|---|---|
| Kasimpasa | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Trabzonspor | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Kocaelispor | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Fenerbahce | 2-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Konyaspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Istanbul Basaksehir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Konyaspor win (36%). Probabilities: Konyaspor 36%, draw 27%, Istanbul Basaksehir 36%.
How many goals are expected in Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Konyaspor 1.42 · Istanbul Basaksehir 1.42), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.