Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 26/10, 17:00
Prediction: Caykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor
Team pages: Caykur Rizespor · Trabzonspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Caykur Rizespor1.13
Trabzonspor1.62
1X2
Caykur Rizespor
Draw
Trabzonspor
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Caykur Rizespor
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Trabzonspor
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Caykur Rizespor
2–4
Trabzonspor
(6 last)
- Trabzonspor1-0Caykur Rizespor
- Caykur Rizespor1-2Trabzonspor
- Trabzonspor2-0Caykur Rizespor
- Trabzonspor5-2Caykur Rizespor
- Caykur Rizespor3-1Trabzonspor
- Caykur Rizespor1-0Trabzonspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caykur Rizespor 1486 · Trabzonspor 1568
| Caykur Rizespor | Draw | Trabzonspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 27% | 48% |
| Market | 26% | 25% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trabzonspor (rating 1486 vs 1568).
- H2H favours Trabzonspor: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Caykur Rizespor | Trabzonspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caykur Rizespor 2–0–4 Trabzonspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Trabzonspor | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Caykur Rizespor |
| 18/10/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Caykur Rizespor | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Trabzonspor |
| 13/04/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Trabzonspor | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Caykur Rizespor |
| 26/02/25 Türkiye Cup | Trabzonspor | 5-2 HT 3-0 | Caykur Rizespor |
| 09/11/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Caykur Rizespor | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Trabzonspor |
| 25/01/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Caykur Rizespor | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Trabzonspor |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Besiktas | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Corum Belediyespor | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 13 |
| 7 | Kasimpasa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Erzurumspor FK | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 |
| 12 | Caykur Rizespor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | Goztepe | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 9 |
| 14 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Genclerbirligi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 8 |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 4 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Caykur Rizespor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Konyaspor | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Besiktas | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Trabzonspor (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caykur Rizespor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 20/09 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
Trabzonspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Trabzonspor win (48%). Probabilities: Caykur Rizespor 26%, draw 26%, Trabzonspor 48%.
How many goals are expected in Caykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Caykur Rizespor 1.13 · Trabzonspor 1.62), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Caykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.