Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 02/11, 18:00

Prediction: Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor

Team pages: Genclerbirligi · Alanyaspor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Genclerbirligi1.12

Alanyaspor1.18

1X2

34% 30% 36%

Genclerbirligi Draw Alanyaspor

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Genclerbirligi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLLDLL

Alanyaspor 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLWDWDLL

Head-to-head

Genclerbirligi 3–3–0 Alanyaspor (6 last)

Alanyaspor0-0Genclerbirligi
Genclerbirligi2-2Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor1-2Genclerbirligi
Genclerbirligi2-1Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor0-1Genclerbirligi
Genclerbirligi1-1Alanyaspor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Genclerbirligi 1451 · Alanyaspor 1501

	Genclerbirligi	Draw	Alanyaspor
Our model	33%	31%	36%
Market	34%	29%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alanyaspor (rating 1451 vs 1501).
H2H favours Genclerbirligi: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Genclerbirligi	Alanyaspor
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2.2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.30
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.67 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:17 +9’	2.70	3.20	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:09 +17’	2.74	3.26	2.65
16:43 +8’	2.70▼	3.27▲	2.68▲
09:22 +3’	2.69▼	3.30▲	2.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Genclerbirligi 3–3–0 Alanyaspor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/03/26 Türkiye Super Lig	Alanyaspor	0-0 HT 0-0	Genclerbirligi
04/10/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Genclerbirligi	2-2 HT 0-1	Alanyaspor
04/04/21 Türkiye Super Lig	Alanyaspor	1-2 HT 1-1	Genclerbirligi
05/12/20 Türkiye Super Lig	Genclerbirligi	2-1 HT 1-0	Alanyaspor
16/02/20 Türkiye Super Lig	Alanyaspor	0-1 HT 0-0	Genclerbirligi
22/09/19 Türkiye Super Lig	Genclerbirligi	1-1 HT 1-0	Alanyaspor

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Galatasaray	9	7	1	1	19	12	22
2	Amedspor	9	6	2	1	20	10	20
3	Trabzonspor	9	6	1	2	22	8	19
4	Besiktas	9	6	0	3	18	10	18
5	Fenerbahce	9	5	1	3	23	8	16
6	Kasimpasa	9	4	4	1	13	9	16
7	Kocaelispor	9	5	0	4	11	9	15
8	Erzurumspor FK	9	4	2	3	8	12	14
9	Corum Belediyespor	9	4	1	4	18	15	13
10	Goztepe	9	3	3	3	19	16	12
11	Alanyaspor	9	3	3	3	9	11	12
12	Istanbul Basaksehir	9	3	2	4	12	14	11
13	Caykur Rizespor	9	3	1	5	11	15	10
14	Konyaspor	9	2	2	5	6	9	8
15	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	9	2	2	5	9	15	8
16	Genclerbirligi	9	2	2	5	7	18	8
17	Samsunspor	9	1	1	7	8	21	4
18	Eyupspor	9	1	0	8	2	23	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Genclerbirligi	Alanyaspor
Erzurumspor FK	1-1 D	0-0 D
Goztepe	1-0 W	2-2 D
Fenerbahce	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Genclerbirligi (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Genclerbirligi

WWWDLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
17/10	Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
10/10	Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
19/09	Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig	0-2	0-4	7	3	L
13/09	Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-2	8	6	L
06/09	Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-3	0-5	3	4	L
28/08	Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
23/08	Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/08	Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig	1-1	2-1	1	1	W
17/05	Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	3-0	3	2	W

Alanyaspor

LDWLWDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig	0-2	1-2	7	6	L
17/10	Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
10/10	Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
19/09	Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
12/09	Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	2-2	9	4	D
07/09	Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
30/08	Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
23/08	Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
15/08	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
16/05	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-2	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Alanyaspor win (36%). Probabilities: Genclerbirligi 34%, draw 30%, Alanyaspor 36%.

How many goals are expected in Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Genclerbirligi 1.12 · Alanyaspor 1.18), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.