Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Kocaelispor vs Caykur Rizespor

Team pages: Kocaelispor · Caykur Rizespor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Kocaelispor1.17
Caykur Rizespor1.26
1X2
34% 28% 38%
Kocaelispor Draw Caykur Rizespor
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Kocaelispor 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LLWWWLWLLW
Caykur Rizespor 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDWLWLWDLL
Head-to-head
Kocaelispor 0–1–1 Caykur Rizespor (2 last)
  • Caykur Rizespor2-0Kocaelispor
  • Kocaelispor1-1Caykur Rizespor
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kocaelispor 1500 · Caykur Rizespor 1498
KocaelisporDrawCaykur Rizespor
Our model33%30%37%
Market34%27%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KocaelisporCaykur Rizespor
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 11 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.22.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.13 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kocaelispor 0–1–1 Caykur Rizespor

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/02/26
Türkiye Super Lig
Caykur Rizespor2-0
HT 1-0
Kocaelispor
21/09/25
Türkiye Super Lig
Kocaelispor1-1
HT 1-1
Caykur Rizespor

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Amedspor 9621 201020
2 Galatasaray 8611 171119
3 Fenerbahce 8512 22616
4 Trabzonspor 8512 18516
5 Kasimpasa 9441 13916
6 Besiktas 8503 161015
7 Kocaelispor 9504 11915
8 Erzurumspor FK 9423 81214
9 Corum Belediyespor 9414 181513
10 Goztepe 9333 191612
11 Alanyaspor 9333 91112
12 Istanbul Basaksehir 8323 121211
13 Caykur Rizespor 8314 81110
14 Konyaspor 9225 698
15 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 9225 9158
16 Genclerbirligi 9225 7188
17 Samsunspor 9117 8214
18 Eyupspor 9108 2233

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKocaelisporCaykur Rizespor
Alanyaspor 2-1 W 0-1 L
Goztepe 1-2 L 2-2 D
Besiktas 1-2 L 2-2 D
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 2-0 W 2-1 W
Samsunspor 1-0 W 0-2 L
Konyaspor 2-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kocaelispor (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kocaelispor

LLWWWLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 Alanyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
2-0 2-1 76 W
18/10 Goztepe
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 1-2 54 L
11/10 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
1-2 1-2 73 L
19/09 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 2-0 13 W
13/09 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-1 34 L
06/09 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 1-0 41 W
29/08 Konyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 2-1 45 W
24/08 Amedspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-0 32 W
16/08 Istanbul Basaksehir
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-2 –– L
17/05 Antalyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-1 412 L

Caykur Rizespor

LDWLWLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Corum Belediyespor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 1-2 84 L
10/10 Fenerbahce
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-3 20 L
20/09 Goztepe
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 2-2 36 D
12/09 Eyupspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-0 24 W
07/09 Alanyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-1 82 L
29/08 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
2-0 2-1 03 W
22/08 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-2 102 L
15/08 Konyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 1-0 75 W
15/05 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
2-0 2-2 85 D
09/05 Eyupspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-3 0-4 60 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kocaelispor vs Caykur Rizespor?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Caykur Rizespor win (38%). Probabilities: Kocaelispor 34%, draw 28%, Caykur Rizespor 38%.

How many goals are expected in Kocaelispor vs Caykur Rizespor?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Kocaelispor 1.17 · Caykur Rizespor 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kocaelispor vs Caykur Rizespor?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.