Prediction: Fenerbahce vs Goztepe
Team pages: Fenerbahce · Goztepe
- Fenerbahce1-1Goztepe
- Goztepe0-0Fenerbahce
- Fenerbahce3-2Goztepe
- Goztepe2-2Fenerbahce
- Fenerbahce2-0Goztepe
- Goztepe1-1Fenerbahce
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Goztepe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| Market | 71% | 18% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fenerbahce (rating 1560 vs 1511).
- H2H favours Fenerbahce: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fenerbahce | Goztepe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 0.9 | 1.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.8 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fenerbahce 2–4–0 Goztepe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Fenerbahce | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Goztepe |
| 16/08/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Goztepe | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fenerbahce |
| 26/01/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Fenerbahce | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Goztepe |
| 17/08/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Goztepe | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Fenerbahce |
| 16/04/22 Türkiye Super Lig | Fenerbahce | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Goztepe |
| 29/11/21 Türkiye Super Lig | Goztepe | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Fenerbahce |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Fenerbahce | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Kasimpasa | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | Erzurumspor FK | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 14 |
| 9 | Corum Belediyespor | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 13 |
| 10 | Goztepe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Caykur Rizespor | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
| 15 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 8 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 4 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 23 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fenerbahce | Goztepe |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Caykur Rizespor | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Eyupspor | 8-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 0-0 D | 2-4 L |
| Samsunspor | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Genclerbirligi | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fenerbahce (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fenerbahce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/10 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 20/09 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
5-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/09 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
3-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Goztepe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 12/10 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/08 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fenerbahce vs Goztepe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fenerbahce win (71%). Probabilities: Fenerbahce 71%, draw 18%, Goztepe 12%.
How many goals are expected in Fenerbahce vs Goztepe?
The model expects 3.55 goals (Fenerbahce 2.57 · Goztepe 0.98), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fenerbahce vs Goztepe?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.