Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 01/11, 17:00
Prediction: Kasimpasa vs Besiktas
Team pages: Kasimpasa · Besiktas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Kasimpasa0.97
Besiktas1.87
1X2
Kasimpasa
Draw
Besiktas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Kasimpasa
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Besiktas
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kasimpasa
3–2–1
Besiktas
(6 last)
- Besiktas2-1Kasimpasa
- Kasimpasa1-1Besiktas
- Kasimpasa1-1Besiktas
- Besiktas1-3Kasimpasa
- Kasimpasa2-1Besiktas
- Besiktas1-3Kasimpasa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kasimpasa 1544 · Besiktas 1565
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Besiktas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 24% | 58% |
| Market | 20% | 21% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Kasimpasa: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kasimpasa | Besiktas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 3.3 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kasimpasa 3–2–1 Besiktas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Besiktas | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Kasimpasa |
| 26/10/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Kasimpasa | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Besiktas |
| 07/04/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Kasimpasa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Besiktas |
| 02/11/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Besiktas | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Kasimpasa |
| 26/05/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Kasimpasa | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Besiktas |
| 05/01/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Besiktas | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Kasimpasa |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Fenerbahce | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Kasimpasa | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | Erzurumspor FK | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 14 |
| 9 | Corum Belediyespor | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 13 |
| 10 | Goztepe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Caykur Rizespor | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
| 15 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 8 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 4 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 23 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kasimpasa | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| Eyupspor | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Amedspor | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Corum Belediyespor | 1-0 W | 6-2 W |
| Trabzonspor | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kasimpasa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 09/10 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 18/09 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Besiktas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/10 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 14 | L |
| 11/09 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 6-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Besiktas win (58%). Probabilities: Kasimpasa 19%, draw 23%, Besiktas 58%.
How many goals are expected in Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Kasimpasa 0.97 · Besiktas 1.87), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.