Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 19/07, 15:00

Prediction: JyPK (W) vs HJK II (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.66Total
JyPK (W)1.82
HJK II (W)1.85
1X2
38% 23% 39%
JyPK (W) Draw HJK II (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
JyPK (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLWLLLWW
HJK II (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWLWWD
Head-to-head
JyPK (W) 1–1–1 HJK II (W) (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JyPK (W) 1516 · HJK II (W) 1533
JyPK (W)DrawHJK II (W)
Our model38%23%39%
Market38%23%39%
Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JyPK (W)HJK II (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.92.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.81.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 42.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.1 / 01.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · JyPK (W) 111 HJK II (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Finland Ykkonen Women
HJK II (W)5-1
HT 3-0
JyPK (W)
24/09/25
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
JyPK (W)2-2
HT 1-1
HJK II (W)
24/08/25
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK II (W)0-1
HT 0-0
JyPK (W)

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJyPK (W)HJK II (W)
FC Honka (W) 1-0 W 0-1 L
TPS (W) 5-1 W 4-1 W
EBK (W) 0-3 L 0-4 L
KTP (W) 1-3 L 4-2 W
HJS (W) 1-2 L 2-3 L
ONS (W) 1-0 W 2-1 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 2-3 L 3-3 D
FC Lahti (W) 5-1 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 4 L 4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: JyPK (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JyPK (W)

WLWLWLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-0 12 W
02/07 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-1 5-1 30 W
27/06 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-3 10 L
13/06 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 1-3 32 L
06/06 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-2 42 L
27/05 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-0 21 W
23/05 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-2 2-3 51 L
17/05 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 5-1 62 W
10/05 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-3 1-5 40 L
11/04 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 4-1 111 W

HJK II (W)

WLWLWWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/07 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-2 3-3 32 D
05/07 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 2-1 53 W
30/06 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-0 85 W
27/06 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-1 30 L
24/06 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 4-1 31 W
10/06 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-0 4-2 92 W
31/05 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-4 05 L
22/05 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 4-1 80 W
17/05 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-2 2-3 71 L
10/05 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-0 5-1 50 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JyPK (W) vs HJK II (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HJK II (W) win (39%). Probabilities: JyPK (W) 38%, draw 23%, HJK II (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in JyPK (W) vs HJK II (W)?

The model expects 3.66 goals (JyPK (W) 1.82 · HJK II (W) 1.85), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JyPK (W) vs HJK II (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.