Prediction: EBK (W) vs FC Lahti (W)
| EBK (W) | Draw | FC Lahti (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 82% | 11% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EBK (W) (rating 1549 vs 1470).
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| EBK (W) | FC Lahti (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 1.6 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | EBK (W) | FC Lahti (W) |
|---|---|---|
| HJS (W) | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| FC Honka (W) | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| JyPK (W) | 3-0 W | 1-5 L |
| ONS (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| TPS (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| HJK II (W) | 4-0 W | 1-4 L |
| KTP (W) | 4-1 W | 6-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: EBK (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
EBK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 08/07 | HPS (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/07 | FC Honka (W) Finland Cup Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 16/06 | EPS (W) Finland Cup Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/06 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
FC Lahti (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 07/07 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/06 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 6-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/03 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | RoPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in EBK (W) vs FC Lahti (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a EBK (W) win (79%). Probabilities: EBK (W) 79%, draw 12%, FC Lahti (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in EBK (W) vs FC Lahti (W)?
The model expects 4.25 goals (EBK (W) 3.12 · FC Lahti (W) 1.12), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in EBK (W) vs FC Lahti (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.