Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 19/07, 13:00

Prediction: HJS (W) vs ONS (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
HJS (W)1.67
ONS (W)1.39
1X2
44% 24% 32%
HJS (W) Draw ONS (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
HJS (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWLLDD
ONS (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLDLLLWLW
Head-to-head
HJS (W) 0–1 ONS (W) (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HJS (W) 1491 · ONS (W) 1480
HJS (W)DrawONS (W)
Our model43%26%31%
Market45%22%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HJS (W)ONS (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.41.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.42.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.12.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · HJS (W) 001 ONS (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Finland Ykkonen Women
ONS (W)2-1
HT 1-1
HJS (W)

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHJS (W)ONS (W)
EBK (W) 1-1 D 0-2 L
FC Lahti (W) 2-2 D 0-1 L
TPS (W) 2-3 L 1-1 D
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1-2 L 3-0 W
JyPK (W) 2-1 W 0-1 L
KTP (W) 4-0 W 3-0 W
FC Honka (W) 0-1 L 1-3 L
HJK II (W) 3-2 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: HJS (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HJS (W)

WLWLWWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 1-1 33 D
07/07 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 2-2 63 D
28/06 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 2-3 24 L
14/06 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-2 1-2 91 L
06/06 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 2-1 32 W
02/06 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-0 4-0 23 W
23/05 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-1 23 L
17/05 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 3-2 21 W
10/05 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 1-2 51 L
20/04 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-0 03 W

ONS (W)

LWLDLLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 3-0 42 W
05/07 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 1-2 93 L
27/06 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 3-0 100 W
13/06 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-2 22 L
06/06 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-1 67 L
27/05 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-1 31 L
23/05 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-1 31 D
17/05 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 1-3 51 L
10/05 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 2-1 61 W
02/05 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-3 2-3 45 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HJS (W) vs ONS (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HJS (W) win (44%). Probabilities: HJS (W) 44%, draw 24%, ONS (W) 32%.

How many goals are expected in HJS (W) vs ONS (W)?

The model expects 3.06 goals (HJS (W) 1.67 · ONS (W) 1.39), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in HJS (W) vs ONS (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.