Football · France Division 1 Women · 07/11, 18:00

Prediction: FC Fleury 91 (W) vs Strasbourg (W)

Team pages: FC Fleury 91 (W) · Strasbourg (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
FC Fleury 91 (W)1.91
Strasbourg (W)1.27
1X2
51% 26% 24%
FC Fleury 91 (W) Draw Strasbourg (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Fleury 91 (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LWLDLDWLDD
Strasbourg (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLDWLD
Head-to-head
FC Fleury 91 (W) 4–1–0 Strasbourg (W) (5 last)
  • FC Fleury 91 (W)3-1Strasbourg (W)
  • Strasbourg (W)0-3FC Fleury 91 (W)
  • FC Fleury 91 (W)1-1Strasbourg (W)
  • Strasbourg (W)0-2FC Fleury 91 (W)
  • Strasbourg (W)1-4FC Fleury 91 (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Fleury 91 (W) 1493 · Strasbourg (W) 1450
FC Fleury 91 (W)DrawStrasbourg (W)
Our model51%24%24%
Market50%27%23%
Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Fleury 91 (W) (rating 1493 vs 1450).
  • H2H favours FC Fleury 91 (W): 4-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Fleury 91 (W)Strasbourg (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 21.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.10.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.62.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.22 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fleury 91 (W) 4–1–0 Strasbourg (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/04/26
France Division 1 Women
FC Fleury 91 (W)3-1
HT 1-0
Strasbourg (W)
06/12/25
France Division 1 Women
Strasbourg (W)0-3
HT 0-0
FC Fleury 91 (W)
15/02/25
France Division 1 Women
FC Fleury 91 (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Strasbourg (W)
05/10/24
France Division 1 Women
Strasbourg (W)0-2
HT 0-2
FC Fleury 91 (W)
29/01/22
France Cup Women
Strasbourg (W)1-4
HT 1-1
FC Fleury 91 (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lyon (W) 7700 41521
2 PSG (W) 7511 10616
3 Paris FC (W) 6411 14913
4 Marseille (W) 7331 91112
5 Le Havre (W) 7232 6119
6 Nantes (W) 7223 788
7 Strasbourg (W) 7223 11138
8 Montpellier (W) 7133 9106
9 FC Fleury 91 (W) 6132 8146
10 Toulouse (W) 6114 7194
11 Lens (W) 7034 6143
12 Saint Malo (W) 6105 4123

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Fleury 91 (W)Strasbourg (W)
Lens (W) 1-1 D 3-1 W
Marseille (W) 2-2 D 3-3 D
PSG (W) 1-3 L 0-2 L
Saint Malo (W) 2-0 W 3-2 W
Nantes (W) 1-1 D 2-3 L
Paris FC (W) 1-2 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Fleury 91 (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Fleury 91 (W)

LWLDLDWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Lens (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 1-1 104 D
18/10 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 2-2 73 D
04/10 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 1-3 12 L
19/09 Saint Malo (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 2-0 46 W
12/09 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-1 –– D
04/09 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-6 1-7 02 L
06/05 St Etienne (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 1-1 36 D
25/04 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-2 51 L
22/04 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 3-1 20 W
28/03 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 1-2 06 L

Strasbourg (W)

LLLWLLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Le Havre (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-0 40 D
24/10 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-2 2-3 56 L
17/10 Lens (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 3-1 102 W
03/10 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-2 3-3 61 D
18/09 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-2 31 L
11/09 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-2 33 L
05/09 Saint Malo (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-0 3-2 43 W
06/05 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-2 01 L
25/04 Le Havre (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-2 2-3 104 L
22/04 FC Fleury 91 (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 1-3 60 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Fleury 91 (W) vs Strasbourg (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Fleury 91 (W) win (51%). Probabilities: FC Fleury 91 (W) 51%, draw 26%, Strasbourg (W) 24%.

How many goals are expected in FC Fleury 91 (W) vs Strasbourg (W)?

The model expects 3.18 goals (FC Fleury 91 (W) 1.91 · Strasbourg (W) 1.27), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Fleury 91 (W) vs Strasbourg (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.