Prediction: Nantes (W) vs Lens (W)
Team pages: Nantes (W) · Lens (W)
- Nantes (W)2-2Lens (W)
- Lens (W)3-4Nantes (W)
- Nantes (W)1-0Lens (W)
- Lens (W)1-4Nantes (W)
| Nantes (W) | Draw | Lens (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantes (W) (rating 1480 vs 1440).
- H2H favours Nantes (W): 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nantes (W) | Lens (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 0.9 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.5 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantes (W) 3–1–0 Lens (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 France Division 1 Women | Nantes (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Lens (W) |
| 27/09/25 France Division 1 Women | Lens (W) | 3-4 HT 2-3 | Nantes (W) |
| 12/05/24 France Division 2 Women | Nantes (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lens (W) |
| 22/05/22 France Division 2 Women | Lens (W) | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Nantes (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon (W) | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | PSG (W) | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Paris FC (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Marseille (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Fleury 91 (W) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 12 |
| 6 | Nantes (W) | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 7 | Le Havre (W) | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 9 |
| 8 | Strasbourg (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 8 |
| 9 | Montpellier (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 10 | Toulouse (W) | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 5 |
| 11 | Saint Malo (W) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
| 12 | Lens (W) | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nantes (W) | Lens (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse (W) | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Marseille (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Strasbourg (W) | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| PSG (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| FC Fleury 91 (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Paris FC (W) | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Lyon (W) | 0-8 L | 1-7 L |
| Le Havre (W) | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 0 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Nantes (W) (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nantes (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Toulouse (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 30/10 | Marseille (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Saint Malo (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 18/09 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-8 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Le Havre (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | D |
Lens (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-5 | 1-7 | – | – | L |
| 31/10 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | Le Havre (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Toulouse (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Marseille (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/05 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Marseille (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nantes (W) vs Lens (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantes (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Nantes (W) 52%, draw 25%, Lens (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Nantes (W) vs Lens (W)?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Nantes (W) 1.86 · Lens (W) 1.2), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nantes (W) vs Lens (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.