Football · France Division 1 Women · 14/11, 15:00
Prediction: Le Havre (W) vs Paris FC (W)
Team pages: Le Havre (W) · Paris FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Le Havre (W)1.11
Paris FC (W)2.39
1X2
Le Havre (W)
Draw
Paris FC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Le Havre (W)
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Paris FC (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Le Havre (W)
0–6
Paris FC (W)
(6 last)
- Le Havre (W)0-4Paris FC (W)
- Paris FC (W)3-0Le Havre (W)
- Le Havre (W)1-2Paris FC (W)
- Le Havre (W)0-2Paris FC (W)
- Paris FC (W)8-0Le Havre (W)
- Paris FC (W)3-2Le Havre (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Le Havre (W) 1474 · Paris FC (W) 1549
| Le Havre (W) | Draw | Paris FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| Market | 16% | 18% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paris FC (W) (rating 1474 vs 1549).
- H2H favours Paris FC (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Le Havre (W) | Paris FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 2.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 3.1 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Le Havre (W) 0–0–6 Paris FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 France Division 1 Women | Le Havre (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Paris FC (W) |
| 06/12/25 France Division 1 Women | Paris FC (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Le Havre (W) |
| 07/03/25 France Cup Women | Le Havre (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Paris FC (W) |
| 08/01/25 France Division 1 Women | Le Havre (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Paris FC (W) |
| 29/09/24 France Division 1 Women | Paris FC (W) | 8-0 HT 6-0 | Le Havre (W) |
| 06/03/24 France Division 1 Women | Paris FC (W) | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Le Havre (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon (W) | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | PSG (W) | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Paris FC (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Marseille (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Fleury 91 (W) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 12 |
| 6 | Nantes (W) | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 7 | Le Havre (W) | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 9 |
| 8 | Strasbourg (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 8 |
| 9 | Montpellier (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 10 | Toulouse (W) | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 5 |
| 11 | Saint Malo (W) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
| 12 | Lens (W) | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Le Havre (W) | Paris FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| PSG (W) | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Strasbourg (W) | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Lens (W) | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Montpellier (W) | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Lyon (W) | 1-8 L | 1-7 L |
| Toulouse (W) | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Nantes (W) | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Paris FC (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Le Havre (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/10 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 24/10 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Saint Malo (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/09 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-4 | 1-8 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Toulouse (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Marseille (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
Paris FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 01/11 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Toulouse (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 1-7 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-2 | 6-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Le Havre (W) vs Paris FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Paris FC (W) win (65%). Probabilities: Le Havre (W) 16%, draw 19%, Paris FC (W) 65%.
How many goals are expected in Le Havre (W) vs Paris FC (W)?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Le Havre (W) 1.11 · Paris FC (W) 2.39), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Le Havre (W) vs Paris FC (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.