Prediction: PSG (W) vs Le Havre (W)
Team pages: PSG (W) · Le Havre (W)
- Le Havre (W)0-4PSG (W)
- PSG (W)2-0Le Havre (W)
- Le Havre (W)2-2PSG (W)
- PSG (W)3-0Le Havre (W)
- PSG (W)4-0Le Havre (W)
- Le Havre (W)1-1PSG (W)
| PSG (W) | Draw | Le Havre (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 15% | 5% |
| Market | 81% | 12% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSG (W) (rating 1590 vs 1483).
- H2H favours PSG (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSG (W) | Le Havre (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.7 | 1.3 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSG (W) 4–2–0 Le Havre (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 France Division 1 Women | Le Havre (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | PSG (W) |
| 01/11/25 France Division 1 Women | PSG (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Le Havre (W) |
| 23/04/25 France Division 1 Women | Le Havre (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | PSG (W) |
| 04/10/24 France Division 1 Women | PSG (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Le Havre (W) |
| 02/03/24 France Division 1 Women | PSG (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Le Havre (W) |
| 10/12/23 France Division 1 Women | Le Havre (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | PSG (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon (W) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | PSG (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Paris FC (W) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Marseille (W) | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Le Havre (W) | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| 6 | Nantes (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 7 | Strasbourg (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
| 8 | Montpellier (W) | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Fleury 91 (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 6 |
| 10 | Toulouse (W) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 4 |
| 11 | Lens (W) | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 3 |
| 12 | Saint Malo (W) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSG (W) | Le Havre (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Lyon (W) | 0-4 L | 1-8 L |
| Nantes (W) | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Strasbourg (W) | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Lens (W) | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: PSG (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSG (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 23/10 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Le Havre (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 24/10 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Saint Malo (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/09 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-4 | 1-8 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Toulouse (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Marseille (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSG (W) vs Le Havre (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PSG (W) win (81%). Probabilities: PSG (W) 81%, draw 14%, Le Havre (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in PSG (W) vs Le Havre (W)?
The model expects 2.89 goals (PSG (W) 2.42 · Le Havre (W) 0.47), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in PSG (W) vs Le Havre (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.