Prediction: Paris FC (W) vs Montpellier (W)
Team pages: Paris FC (W) · Montpellier (W)
- Montpellier (W)0-2Paris FC (W)
- Paris FC (W)2-1Montpellier (W)
- Montpellier (W)2-0Paris FC (W)
- Paris FC (W)4-2Montpellier (W)
- Paris FC (W)3-0Montpellier (W)
- Montpellier (W)1-4Paris FC (W)
| Paris FC (W) | Draw | Montpellier (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | 72% | 18% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paris FC (W) (rating 1568 vs 1452).
- H2H favours Paris FC (W): 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paris FC (W) | Montpellier (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.3 | 1.4 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paris FC (W) 5–0–1 Montpellier (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 France Division 1 Women | Montpellier (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Paris FC (W) |
| 22/11/25 France Division 1 Women | Paris FC (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Montpellier (W) |
| 29/03/25 France Division 1 Women | Montpellier (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Paris FC (W) |
| 09/11/24 France Division 1 Women | Paris FC (W) | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Montpellier (W) |
| 29/03/24 France Division 1 Women | Paris FC (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Montpellier (W) |
| 09/12/23 France Division 1 Women | Montpellier (W) | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Paris FC (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon (W) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | PSG (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Paris FC (W) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Marseille (W) | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Le Havre (W) | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| 6 | Nantes (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 7 | Strasbourg (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
| 8 | Montpellier (W) | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Fleury 91 (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 6 |
| 10 | Toulouse (W) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 4 |
| 11 | Lens (W) | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 3 |
| 12 | Saint Malo (W) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paris FC (W) | Montpellier (W) |
|---|---|---|
| PSG (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Toulouse (W) | 4-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Lyon (W) | 1-7 L | 2-5 L |
| Nantes (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Paris FC (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paris FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Toulouse (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 1-7 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-2 | 6-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Montpellier (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 23/10 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Le Havre (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Marseille (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Saint Malo (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Toulouse (W) France Division 1 Women |
5-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | St Etienne (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/04 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paris FC (W) vs Montpellier (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paris FC (W) win (72%). Probabilities: Paris FC (W) 72%, draw 18%, Montpellier (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in Paris FC (W) vs Montpellier (W)?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Paris FC (W) 2.32 · Montpellier (W) 0.75), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Paris FC (W) vs Montpellier (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.