Prediction: Lens (W) vs FC Fleury 91 (W)

Team pages: Lens (W) · FC Fleury 91 (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Lens (W)1.03
FC Fleury 91 (W)1.92
1X2
19% 24% 57%
Lens (W) Draw FC Fleury 91 (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Lens (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
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FC Fleury 91 (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Lens (W) 0–2 FC Fleury 91 (W) (2 last)
  • Lens (W)0-2FC Fleury 91 (W)
  • FC Fleury 91 (W)4-0Lens (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lens (W) 1437 · FC Fleury 91 (W) 1491
Lens (W)DrawFC Fleury 91 (W)
Our model19%24%57%
Market19%24%57%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Fleury 91 (W) (rating 1437 vs 1491).
  • H2H favours FC Fleury 91 (W): 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lens (W)FC Fleury 91 (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 2.21.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.30.6 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.33.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lens (W) 0–0–2 FC Fleury 91 (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/02/26
France Division 1 Women
Lens (W)0-2
HT 0-0
FC Fleury 91 (W)
01/11/25
France Division 1 Women
FC Fleury 91 (W)4-0
HT 2-0
Lens (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lyon (W) 6600 36318
2 PSG (W) 6501 9515
3 Paris FC (W) 5401 13812
4 Marseille (W) 7331 91112
5 Nantes (W) 7223 788
6 Le Havre (W) 6222 6118
7 Strasbourg (W) 6213 11137
8 Montpellier (W) 6132 756
9 FC Fleury 91 (W) 5122 7135
10 Saint Malo (W) 5104 393
11 Lens (W) 6024 5132
12 Toulouse (W) 5014 4181

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLens (W)FC Fleury 91 (W)
Strasbourg (W) 1-3 L 3-1 W
Paris FC (W) 1-4 L 1-2 L
Marseille (W) 1-2 L 2-2 D
PSG (W) 0-2 L 1-3 L
St Etienne (W) 1-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 5 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Fleury 91 (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lens (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Le Havre (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-0 22 D
17/10 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 1-3 22 L
03/10 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 1-4 44 L
19/09 Toulouse (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 2-2 –– D
12/09 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 1-2 –– L
05/09 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-2 –– L
06/05 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-2 2-6 44 L
25/04 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-1 95 L
22/04 Le Havre (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-0 23 W
28/03 St Etienne (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 1-2 04 L

FC Fleury 91 (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 2-2 73 D
04/10 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 1-3 12 L
19/09 Saint Malo (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 2-0 46 W
12/09 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-1 –– D
04/09 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-6 1-7 02 L
06/05 St Etienne (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 1-1 36 D
25/04 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-2 51 L
22/04 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 3-1 20 W
28/03 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 1-2 06 L
21/03 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 0-2 04 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lens (W) vs FC Fleury 91 (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Fleury 91 (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Lens (W) 19%, draw 24%, FC Fleury 91 (W) 57%.

How many goals are expected in Lens (W) vs FC Fleury 91 (W)?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Lens (W) 1.03 · FC Fleury 91 (W) 1.92), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lens (W) vs FC Fleury 91 (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.