Prediction: Paris FC (W) vs PSG (W)
Team pages: Paris FC (W) · PSG (W)
- Paris FC (W)1-0PSG (W)
- PSG (W)2-1Paris FC (W)
- Paris FC (W)0-3PSG (W)
- PSG (W)0-0Paris FC (W)
- PSG (W)3-0Paris FC (W)
- Paris FC (W)0-0PSG (W)
| Paris FC (W) | Draw | PSG (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 36% | 27% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSG (W) (rating 1552 vs 1610).
- H2H favours PSG (W): 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paris FC (W) | PSG (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.6 | 3.8 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paris FC (W) 1–2–3 PSG (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 France Division 1 Women | Paris FC (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | PSG (W) |
| 04/04/26 France Cup Women | PSG (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Paris FC (W) |
| 07/02/26 France Division 1 Women | Paris FC (W) | 0-3 HT 0-3 | PSG (W) |
| 20/12/25 France Division 1 Women | PSG (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Paris FC (W) |
| 11/05/25 France Division 1 Women | PSG (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Paris FC (W) |
| 03/05/25 France Cup Women | Paris FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | PSG (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon (W) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG (W) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Paris FC (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | Marseille (W) | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Nantes (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 6 | Le Havre (W) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 7 | Strasbourg (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 8 | Montpellier (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Fleury 91 (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 10 | Saint Malo (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 11 | Lens (W) | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
| 12 | Toulouse (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paris FC (W) | PSG (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Lens (W) | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Strasbourg (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Lyon (W) | 1-7 L | 0-4 L |
| Nantes (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Montpellier (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Paris FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paris FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Toulouse (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 1-7 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-2 | 6-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
PSG (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | St Etienne (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paris FC (W) vs PSG (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paris FC (W) win (36%). Probabilities: Paris FC (W) 36%, draw 28%, PSG (W) 36%.
How many goals are expected in Paris FC (W) vs PSG (W)?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Paris FC (W) 1.29 · PSG (W) 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Paris FC (W) vs PSG (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.