Prediction: Lens (W) vs Strasbourg (W)

Team pages: Lens (W) · Strasbourg (W)

See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Lens (W)1.42
Strasbourg (W)1.4
1X2
36% 28% 36%
Lens (W) Draw Strasbourg (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Lens (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WLLWLLLLDL
Strasbourg (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLDLLLWLLD
Head-to-head
Lens (W) 1–3–2 Strasbourg (W) (6 last)
  • Lens (W)0-1Strasbourg (W)
  • Strasbourg (W)2-2Lens (W)
  • Lens (W)1-1Strasbourg (W)
  • Lens (W)1-1Strasbourg (W)
  • Strasbourg (W)3-2Lens (W)
  • Lens (W)1-0Strasbourg (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lens (W) 1458 · Strasbourg (W) 1441
Lens (W)DrawStrasbourg (W)
Our model37%28%36%
Market36%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Strasbourg (W): 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lens (W)Strasbourg (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.11.1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.10.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.91.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 02.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lens (W) 1–3–2 Strasbourg (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
17/01/26
France Division 1 Women
Lens (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Strasbourg (W)
20/09/25
France Division 1 Women
Strasbourg (W)2-2
HT 2-1
Lens (W)
03/03/24
France Division 2 Women
Lens (W)1-1
HT 1-1
Strasbourg (W)
27/01/24
France Cup Women
Lens (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Strasbourg (W)
08/10/23
France Division 2 Women
Strasbourg (W)3-2
HT 2-1
Lens (W)
25/09/22
France Division 2 Women
Lens (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Strasbourg (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lyon (W) 4400 27312
2 PSG (W) 4400 8112
3 Paris FC (W) 4301 989
4 Marseille (W) 4220 648
5 Le Havre (W) 4202 5106
6 Montpellier (W) 4121 635
7 Strasbourg (W) 4112 694
8 FC Fleury 91 (W) 4112 5114
9 Saint Malo (W) 4103 373
10 Nantes (W) 4022 252
11 Lens (W) 4013 4101
12 Toulouse (W) 4013 4141

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLens (W)Strasbourg (W)
Paris FC (W) 1-4 L 0-2 L
Marseille (W) 1-2 L 3-3 D
PSG (W) 0-2 L 0-2 L
Le Havre (W) 1-0 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Strasbourg (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lens (W)

WLLWLLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 1-4 44 L
19/09 Toulouse (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 2-2 –– D
12/09 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 1-2 –– L
05/09 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-2 –– L
06/05 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-2 2-6 44 L
25/04 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-1 95 L
22/04 Le Havre (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-0 23 W
28/03 St Etienne (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 1-2 04 L
22/03 Dijon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-1 52 L
11/03 Montpellier (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-1 2-1 37 W

Strasbourg (W)

LLDLLLWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-2 3-3 61 D
18/09 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-2 31 L
11/09 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-2 33 L
05/09 Saint Malo (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-0 3-2 43 W
06/05 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-2 01 L
25/04 Le Havre (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-2 2-3 104 L
22/04 FC Fleury 91 (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 1-3 60 L
28/03 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 2-2 11 D
22/03 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-3 0-3 33 L
11/03 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 0-3 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lens (W) vs Strasbourg (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lens (W) win (36%). Probabilities: Lens (W) 36%, draw 28%, Strasbourg (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Lens (W) vs Strasbourg (W)?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Lens (W) 1.42 · Strasbourg (W) 1.4), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lens (W) vs Strasbourg (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.