Prediction: Marseille (W) vs FC Fleury 91 (W)

Team pages: Marseille (W) · FC Fleury 91 (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Marseille (W)1.55
FC Fleury 91 (W)1.22
1X2
44% 27% 29%
Marseille (W) Draw FC Fleury 91 (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Marseille (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDLLWLWWDD
FC Fleury 91 (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLWLDLDWL
Head-to-head
Marseille (W) 1–1–4 FC Fleury 91 (W) (6 last)
  • FC Fleury 91 (W)1-1Marseille (W)
  • Marseille (W)0-2FC Fleury 91 (W)
  • Marseille (W)2-3FC Fleury 91 (W)
  • FC Fleury 91 (W)4-1Marseille (W)
  • Marseille (W)0-1FC Fleury 91 (W)
  • Marseille (W)2-0FC Fleury 91 (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marseille (W) 1511 · FC Fleury 91 (W) 1461
Marseille (W)DrawFC Fleury 91 (W)
Our model44%27%29%
Market44%27%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marseille (W) (rating 1511 vs 1461).
  • H2H favours FC Fleury 91 (W): 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Marseille (W)FC Fleury 91 (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.31 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.4 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.70.6 / 1.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.13.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Marseille (W) 1–1–4 FC Fleury 91 (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/01/26
France Division 1 Women
FC Fleury 91 (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Marseille (W)
27/09/25
France Division 1 Women
Marseille (W)0-2
HT 0-2
FC Fleury 91 (W)
22/02/20
France Division 1 Women
Marseille (W)2-3
HT 1-2
FC Fleury 91 (W)
02/11/19
France Division 1 Women
FC Fleury 91 (W)4-1
HT 0-1
Marseille (W)
01/04/18
France Division 1 Women
Marseille (W)0-1
HT 0-1
FC Fleury 91 (W)
28/01/18
France Cup Women
Marseille (W)2-0
HT 1-0
FC Fleury 91 (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lyon (W) 4400 27312
2 PSG (W) 4400 8112
3 Paris FC (W) 4301 989
4 Marseille (W) 4220 648
5 Le Havre (W) 4202 5106
6 Montpellier (W) 4121 635
7 Strasbourg (W) 4112 694
8 FC Fleury 91 (W) 4112 5114
9 Saint Malo (W) 4103 373
10 Nantes (W) 4022 252
11 Lens (W) 4013 4101
12 Toulouse (W) 4013 4141

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMarseille (W)FC Fleury 91 (W)
Strasbourg (W) 3-3 D 3-1 W
Nantes (W) 0-2 L 1-1 D
PSG (W) 1-2 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Fleury 91 (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marseille (W)

LDLLWLWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-1 3-3 41 D
19/09 Montpellier (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-0 33 D
12/09 Lens (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 2-1 –– W
05/09 Le Havre (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 1-0 85 W
06/05 Dijon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-1 05 L
25/04 Lens (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-0 35 W
22/04 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-2 34 L
28/03 Montpellier (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 1-2 45 L
22/03 Le Havre (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 2-2 41 D
11/03 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-2 45 L

FC Fleury 91 (W)

LLLWLDLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 1-3 12 L
19/09 Saint Malo (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 2-0 46 W
12/09 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-1 –– D
04/09 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-6 1-7 02 L
06/05 St Etienne (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 1-1 36 D
25/04 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-2 51 L
22/04 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 3-1 20 W
28/03 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 1-2 06 L
21/03 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 0-2 04 L
11/03 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-2 16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marseille (W) vs FC Fleury 91 (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Marseille (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Marseille (W) 44%, draw 27%, FC Fleury 91 (W) 29%.

How many goals are expected in Marseille (W) vs FC Fleury 91 (W)?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Marseille (W) 1.55 · FC Fleury 91 (W) 1.22), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Marseille (W) vs FC Fleury 91 (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.