Football · France Division 1 Women · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Le Havre (W) vs Lens (W)

Team pages: Le Havre (W) · Lens (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Le Havre (W)1.75
Lens (W)1.45
1X2
44% 25% 31%
Le Havre (W) Draw Lens (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Le Havre (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLLWDLWLWD
Lens (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLLDLL
Head-to-head
Le Havre (W) 1–3 Lens (W) (4 last)
  • Le Havre (W)0-1Lens (W)
  • Lens (W)2-1Le Havre (W)
  • Le Havre (W)4-1Lens (W)
  • Lens (W)3-1Le Havre (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Le Havre (W) 1482 · Lens (W) 1450
Le Havre (W)DrawLens (W)
Our model44%25%31%
Market44%24%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Lens (W): 3-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Le Havre (W)Lens (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 2.10.9 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.10.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.91.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 03.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Le Havre (W) 1–0–3 Lens (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/04/26
France Division 1 Women
Le Havre (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Lens (W)
20/12/25
France Division 1 Women
Lens (W)2-1
HT 0-0
Le Havre (W)
13/03/22
France Division 2 Women
Le Havre (W)4-1
HT 1-1
Lens (W)
17/10/21
France Division 2 Women
Lens (W)3-1
HT 3-1
Le Havre (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lyon (W) 5500 31315
2 Paris FC (W) 5401 13812
3 PSG (W) 5401 8512
4 Marseille (W) 5230 869
5 Strasbourg (W) 5212 9107
6 Le Havre (W) 5212 6117
7 Montpellier (W) 5131 746
8 Nantes (W) 5122 455
9 FC Fleury 91 (W) 5122 7135
10 Saint Malo (W) 5104 393
11 Lens (W) 5014 5131
12 Toulouse (W) 5014 4181

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLe Havre (W)Lens (W)
Toulouse (W) 2-1 W 2-2 D
Marseille (W) 0-1 L 1-2 L
Strasbourg (W) 3-2 W 1-3 L
Dijon (W) 1-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Le Havre (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Le Havre (W)

DLLWDLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Montpellier (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 1-1 35 D
03/10 Saint Malo (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-0 2-0 –– W
18/09 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-4 1-8 02 L
12/09 Toulouse (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 2-1 –– W
05/09 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-1 45 L
06/05 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-2 3-3 20 D
25/04 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-1 3-2 24 W
22/04 Lens (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-1 53 L
28/03 Dijon (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 1-2 62 L
22/03 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 2-2 91 D

Lens (W)

LLWLLLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 1-3 22 L
03/10 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 1-4 44 L
19/09 Toulouse (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 2-2 –– D
12/09 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 1-2 –– L
05/09 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-2 –– L
06/05 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-2 2-6 44 L
25/04 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-1 95 L
22/04 Le Havre (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-0 23 W
28/03 St Etienne (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 1-2 04 L
22/03 Dijon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-1 52 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Le Havre (W) vs Lens (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Le Havre (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Le Havre (W) 44%, draw 25%, Lens (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Le Havre (W) vs Lens (W)?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Le Havre (W) 1.75 · Lens (W) 1.45), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Le Havre (W) vs Lens (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.