Prediction: PSG (W) vs Lyon (W)
Team pages: PSG (W) · Lyon (W)
- PSG (W)1-4Lyon (W)
- Lyon (W)1-0PSG (W)
- PSG (W)0-1Lyon (W)
- Lyon (W)6-1PSG (W)
- Lyon (W)3-0PSG (W)
- PSG (W)0-2Lyon (W)
| PSG (W) | Draw | Lyon (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 21% | 68% |
| Market | 12% | 19% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lyon (W) (rating 1603 vs 1662).
- H2H favours Lyon (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 14.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSG (W) | Lyon (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7 | 4.1 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSG (W) 0–0–6 Lyon (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 France Cup Women | PSG (W) | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Lyon (W) |
| 14/03/26 France League Cup Women | Lyon (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | PSG (W) |
| 01/02/26 France Division 1 Women | PSG (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lyon (W) |
| 27/09/25 France Division 1 Women | Lyon (W) | 6-1 HT 1-1 | PSG (W) |
| 16/05/25 France Division 1 Women | Lyon (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | PSG (W) |
| 18/01/25 France Division 1 Women | PSG (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Lyon (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | Paris FC (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | PSG (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Marseille (W) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Strasbourg (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
| 6 | Le Havre (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 7 | Montpellier (W) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Nantes (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | FC Fleury 91 (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 10 | Saint Malo (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 11 | Lens (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 1 |
| 12 | Toulouse (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSG (W) | Lyon (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FC Fleury 91 (W) | 3-1 W | 7-1 W |
| Nantes (W) | 1-0 W | 8-0 W |
| Strasbourg (W) | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Paris FC (W) | 0-1 L | 7-1 W |
| Montpellier (W) | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Lyon (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSG (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | St Etienne (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
Lyon (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Toulouse (W) France Division 1 Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Le Havre (W) France Division 1 Women |
4-0 | 8-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 7-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
6-1 | 7-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/04 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/04 | Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSG (W) vs Lyon (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lyon (W) win (68%). Probabilities: PSG (W) 12%, draw 20%, Lyon (W) 68%.
How many goals are expected in PSG (W) vs Lyon (W)?
The model expects 2.86 goals (PSG (W) 0.76 · Lyon (W) 2.11), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in PSG (W) vs Lyon (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.