Prediction: PSG (W) vs Montpellier (W)
Team pages: PSG (W) · Montpellier (W)
- Montpellier (W)2-3PSG (W)
- PSG (W)5-0Montpellier (W)
- PSG (W)2-2Montpellier (W)
- PSG (W)4-1Montpellier (W)
- Montpellier (W)1-3PSG (W)
- Montpellier (W)1-3PSG (W)
| PSG (W) | Draw | Montpellier (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 17% | 7% |
| Market | 77% | 16% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSG (W) (rating 1597 vs 1467).
- H2H favours PSG (W): 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSG (W) | Montpellier (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.6 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSG (W) 5–1–0 Montpellier (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 France Division 1 Women | Montpellier (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | PSG (W) |
| 24/01/26 France Cup Women | PSG (W) | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Montpellier (W) |
| 12/12/25 France Division 1 Women | PSG (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Montpellier (W) |
| 15/02/25 France Division 1 Women | PSG (W) | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Montpellier (W) |
| 21/09/24 France Division 1 Women | Montpellier (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | PSG (W) |
| 24/03/24 France Division 1 Women | Montpellier (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | PSG (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | Paris FC (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | PSG (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Marseille (W) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Strasbourg (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
| 6 | Le Havre (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 7 | Montpellier (W) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Nantes (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | FC Fleury 91 (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 10 | Saint Malo (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 11 | Lens (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 1 |
| 12 | Toulouse (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSG (W) | Montpellier (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon (W) | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Nantes (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Paris FC (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| St Etienne (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: PSG (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSG (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | St Etienne (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Montpellier (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Le Havre (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Marseille (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Saint Malo (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Toulouse (W) France Division 1 Women |
5-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | St Etienne (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/04 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Marseille (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSG (W) vs Montpellier (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PSG (W) win (76%). Probabilities: PSG (W) 76%, draw 16%, Montpellier (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in PSG (W) vs Montpellier (W)?
The model expects 3.06 goals (PSG (W) 2.43 · Montpellier (W) 0.64), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in PSG (W) vs Montpellier (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.