Prediction: Montpellier (W) vs Le Havre (W)

Team pages: Montpellier (W) · Le Havre (W)

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Montpellier (W)1.71
Le Havre (W)1.32
1X2
45% 26% 28%
Montpellier (W) Draw Le Havre (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Montpellier (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWLWLWLDD
Le Havre (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDLLWDLWLW
Head-to-head
Montpellier (W) 1–1–4 Le Havre (W) (6 last)
  • Montpellier (W)1-2Le Havre (W)
  • Le Havre (W)3-2Montpellier (W)
  • Montpellier (W)0-2Le Havre (W)
  • Montpellier (W)1-3Le Havre (W)
  • Le Havre (W)0-1Montpellier (W)
  • Le Havre (W)3-3Montpellier (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montpellier (W) 1465 · Le Havre (W) 1482
Montpellier (W)DrawLe Havre (W)
Our model46%26%29%
Market45%27%28%
Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Le Havre (W): 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Montpellier (W)Le Havre (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.41.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.60.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.42 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.12.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Montpellier (W) 1–1–4 Le Havre (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/02/26
France Division 1 Women
Montpellier (W)1-2
HT 0-2
Le Havre (W)
27/09/25
France Division 1 Women
Le Havre (W)3-2
HT 0-1
Montpellier (W)
25/01/25
France Cup Women
Montpellier (W)0-2
HT 0-0
Le Havre (W)
18/01/25
France Division 1 Women
Montpellier (W)1-3
HT 0-2
Le Havre (W)
18/10/24
France Division 1 Women
Le Havre (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Montpellier (W)
17/03/24
France Division 1 Women
Le Havre (W)3-3
HT 0-1
Montpellier (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lyon (W) 4400 27312
2 PSG (W) 4400 8112
3 Paris FC (W) 4301 989
4 Marseille (W) 4220 648
5 Le Havre (W) 4202 5106
6 Montpellier (W) 4121 635
7 Strasbourg (W) 4112 694
8 FC Fleury 91 (W) 4112 5114
9 Saint Malo (W) 4103 373
10 Nantes (W) 4022 252
11 Lens (W) 4013 4101
12 Toulouse (W) 4013 4141

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMontpellier (W)Le Havre (W)
Nantes (W) 1-1 D 3-3 D
Marseille (W) 0-0 D 0-1 L
Saint Malo (W) 0-1 L 2-0 W
Toulouse (W) 5-1 W 2-1 W
Lyon (W) 1-3 L 1-8 L
Lens (W) 1-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Montpellier (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montpellier (W)

LLWLWLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 1-1 86 D
19/09 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-0 13 D
12/09 Saint Malo (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-1 72 L
05/09 Toulouse (W)
France Division 1 Women
5-0 5-1 14 W
06/05 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 1-3 33 L
25/04 St Etienne (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 1-0 25 W
22/04 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-2 –– L
28/03 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 2-1 35 W
22/03 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 2-3 54 L
11/03 Lens (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-2 1-2 17 L

Le Havre (W)

LDLLWDLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Saint Malo (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-0 2-0 –– W
18/09 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-4 1-8 02 L
12/09 Toulouse (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 2-1 –– W
05/09 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-1 45 L
06/05 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-2 3-3 20 D
25/04 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-1 3-2 24 W
22/04 Lens (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-1 53 L
28/03 Dijon (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 1-2 62 L
22/03 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 2-2 91 D
10/03 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 0-3 01 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montpellier (W) vs Le Havre (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Montpellier (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Montpellier (W) 45%, draw 26%, Le Havre (W) 28%.

How many goals are expected in Montpellier (W) vs Le Havre (W)?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Montpellier (W) 1.71 · Le Havre (W) 1.32), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Montpellier (W) vs Le Havre (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.