Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 26/07, 17:00
Prediction: FC Politehnica Chisinau vs Zimbru Chisinau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
FC Politehnica Chisinau1.17
Zimbru Chisinau2.17
1X2
FC Politehnica Chisinau
Draw
Zimbru Chisinau
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Politehnica Chisinau
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Zimbru Chisinau
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Politehnica Chisinau
0–5
Zimbru Chisinau
(5 last)
- FC Politehnica Chisinau0-5Zimbru Chisinau
- Zimbru Chisinau5-0FC Politehnica Chisinau
- Zimbru Chisinau4-2FC Politehnica Chisinau
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Politehnica Chisinau 1520 · Zimbru Chisinau 1566
| FC Politehnica Chisinau | Draw | Zimbru Chisinau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| Market | 21% | 18% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zimbru Chisinau (rating 1520 vs 1566).
- H2H favours Zimbru Chisinau: 5-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Politehnica Chisinau | Zimbru Chisinau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.1 | 2.9 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Politehnica Chisinau 0–0–5 Zimbru Chisinau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 Moldova Cup | FC Politehnica Chisinau | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Zimbru Chisinau |
| 03/03/26 Moldova Cup | Zimbru Chisinau | 5-0 HT 3-0 | FC Politehnica Chisinau |
| 30/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Zimbru Chisinau | 4-2 HT 0-1 | FC Politehnica Chisinau |
| 27/09/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Politehnica Chisinau | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Zimbru Chisinau |
| 03/08/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Zimbru Chisinau | 7-0 HT 1-0 | FC Politehnica Chisinau |
Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | CS Petrocub | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | FC Politehnica Chisinau | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Dacia Buiucani | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Zimbru Chisinau | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | FC Milsami | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Balti | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | FC Real Sireti | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Politehnica Chisinau | Zimbru Chisinau |
|---|---|---|
| FC Real Sireti | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 0-0 D | 2-4 L |
| FC Balti | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Politehnica Chisinau (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Politehnica Chisinau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | FC Floresti Moldova Divizia A |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/05 | CF Sparta Selemet Moldova Divizia A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Iskra Ribnita Moldova Divizia A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/04 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | FC Stauceni Moldova Divizia A |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Zimbru Chisinau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | FC Noah UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 13/05 | FC Milsami Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/05 | FC Milsami Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Politehnica Chisinau vs Zimbru Chisinau?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Zimbru Chisinau win (60%). Probabilities: FC Politehnica Chisinau 20%, draw 20%, Zimbru Chisinau 60%.
How many goals are expected in FC Politehnica Chisinau vs Zimbru Chisinau?
The model expects 3.34 goals (FC Politehnica Chisinau 1.17 · Zimbru Chisinau 2.17), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Politehnica Chisinau vs Zimbru Chisinau?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.