Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 25/07, 19:00

Prediction: FC Balti vs Dacia Buiucani

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

FC Balti1.52

Dacia Buiucani1.3

1X2

41% 27% 32%

FC Balti Draw Dacia Buiucani

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Balti 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Dacia Buiucani 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Balti 3–3–0 Dacia Buiucani (6 last)

FC Balti0-0Dacia Buiucani
Dacia Buiucani1-2FC Balti
FC Balti2-0Dacia Buiucani

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Balti 1492 · Dacia Buiucani 1416

	FC Balti	Draw	Dacia Buiucani
Our model	41%	27%	31%
Market	42%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Balti (rating 1492 vs 1416).
H2H favours FC Balti: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Balti	Dacia Buiucani
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.6	2.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.40

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.55 → 2.80▲	Pinn 3.17 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:18 +3’	2.35	3.40	2.55
08:14 +2’	2.15▼	3.40	2.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:15 +1’	2.03	3.14	3.18
17:33	2.06▲	3.21▲	3.17▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Balti 3–3–0 Dacia Buiucani

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Balti	0-0 HT 0-0	Dacia Buiucani
11/04/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Dacia Buiucani	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Balti
18/10/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Balti	2-0 HT 1-0	Dacia Buiucani
16/08/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Dacia Buiucani	2-3 HT 1-0	FC Balti
28/06/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Balti	0-0 HT 0-0	Dacia Buiucani
05/10/24 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Dacia Buiucani	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Balti

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	4	3	1	0	10	4	10
2	CS Petrocub	4	2	1	1	10	5	7
3	FC Politehnica Chisinau	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
4	Dacia Buiucani	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
5	Zimbru Chisinau	4	1	2	1	6	5	5
6	FC Milsami	4	1	1	2	2	7	4
7	FC Balti	4	1	1	2	5	6	4
8	FC Real Sireti	4	0	1	3	2	9	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Balti	Dacia Buiucani
FC Milsami	1-2 L	1-0 W
CS Petrocub	1-1 D	1-2 L
Zimbru Chisinau	0-3 L	0-3 L
FC Politehnica Chisinau	3-0 W	1-5 L
Sheriff Tiraspol	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Balti

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
11/07	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
05/07	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-3	2	6	L
27/06	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
17/05	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/05	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
02/05	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-2	1-4	2	1	L
26/04	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
22/04	CS Petrocub Moldova Cup	0-0	1-1	7	1	D
18/04	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-2	0-2	–	–	L

Dacia Buiucani

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-3	1-5	3	3	L
12/07	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-0	4	9	W
05/07	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
28/06	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-2	8	2	L
17/05	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-2	1-2	4	7	L
03/05	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-1	1-2	8	1	L
25/04	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
21/04	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup	1-0	1-2	6	7	L
18/04	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-2	2	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Balti vs Dacia Buiucani?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Balti win (41%). Probabilities: FC Balti 41%, draw 27%, Dacia Buiucani 32%.

How many goals are expected in FC Balti vs Dacia Buiucani?

The model expects 2.82 goals (FC Balti 1.52 · Dacia Buiucani 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Balti vs Dacia Buiucani?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.