Football · Japan Regional League · 12/07, 03:00

Prediction: Nobeoka Agata vs KMG Holdings

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Nobeoka Agata1.79
KMG Holdings1.19
1X2
51% 25% 25%
Nobeoka Agata Draw KMG Holdings
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nobeoka Agata 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DWDDWWLWWW
KMG Holdings 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWLWWW
Head-to-head
Nobeoka Agata 2–1–0 KMG Holdings (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nobeoka Agata 1580 · KMG Holdings 1584
Nobeoka AgataDrawKMG Holdings
Our model50%25%24%
Market51%24%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Nobeoka Agata: 2-1-0.
  • High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nobeoka AgataKMG Holdings
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 12.5 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.21.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)4.2 / 7.23.2 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 0.22.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nobeoka Agata 210 KMG Holdings

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/08/25
Japan Regional League
KMG Holdings0-3
HT 0-2
Nobeoka Agata
07/09/24
Japan Regional League
Nobeoka Agata5-2
HT 2-2
KMG Holdings
08/06/24
Japan Regional League
KMG Holdings1-1
HT 0-0
Nobeoka Agata

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNobeoka AgataKMG Holdings
Brew Saga 2-0 W 4-2 W
Nippon Steel Oita 3-2 W 5-0 W
CA Celeste 3-2 W 4-0 W
Veroskronos Tsuno 0-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KMG Holdings (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nobeoka Agata

DWDDWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Brew Saga
Japan Regional League
1-0 2-0 71 W
28/06 Nippon Steel Oita
Japan Regional League
1-1 3-2 72 W
27/06 CA Celeste
Japan Regional League
0-0 3-2 101 W
14/06 Veroskronos Tsuno
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-2 102 L
13/06 MHI Nagasaki
Japan Regional League
2-0 3-0 75 W
13/06 Mitsubishi Nagasaki SC
Japan Regional League
2-0 3-0 74 W
07/09 Mitsubishi Nagasaki SC
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-0 132 D
06/09 Veroskronos Tsuno
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-1 42 D
03/08 KMG Holdings
Japan Regional League
2-0 3-0 43 W
12/07 J-Lease FC
Japan Regional League
2-0 3-3 32 D

KMG Holdings

WWWWWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Kawasoe Club
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-0 33 W
27/06 NIFS Kanoya FC
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-0 74 W
14/06 Nexus Miyakonojo
Japan Regional League
1-0 4-1 93 W
13/06 Veroskronos Tsuno
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-1 52 L
31/05 Brew Saga
Japan Regional League
1-1 4-2 66 W
24/05 Nippon Steel Oita
Japan Regional League
2-0 5-0 52 W
17/05 CA Celeste
Japan Regional League
4-0 4-0 90 W
05/04 Kawasoe Club
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-0 42 W
04/04 NIFS Kanoya FC
Japan Regional League
1-0 2-0 101 W
07/09 FC Hakata
Japan Regional League
0-1 3-1 72 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nobeoka Agata vs KMG Holdings?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nobeoka Agata win (51%). Probabilities: Nobeoka Agata 51%, draw 25%, KMG Holdings 25%.

How many goals are expected in Nobeoka Agata vs KMG Holdings?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Nobeoka Agata 1.79 · KMG Holdings 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nobeoka Agata vs KMG Holdings?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.