Football · Brazil Serie D · 12/07, 23:00

Prediction: XV Piracicaba vs Cianorte

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
XV Piracicaba1.55
Cianorte0.67
1X2
58% 28% 15%
XV Piracicaba Draw Cianorte
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
XV Piracicaba 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WDWWDDLDWL
Cianorte 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWDLWWLW
Head-to-head
XV Piracicaba 0–1 Cianorte (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · XV Piracicaba 1517 · Cianorte 1514
XV PiracicabaDrawCianorte
Our model58%28%15%
Market58%27%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

XV PiracicabaCianorte
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 11.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 7.12.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.46.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · XV Piracicaba 001 Cianorte

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
04/07/26
Brazil Serie D
Cianorte4-0
HT 1-0
XV Piracicaba

Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A15

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Santa Catarina 10613 15919
2 Cianorte 10514 9816
3 FC Cascavel 10433 9415
4 Sao Luiz 10433 11915
5 Joinville 10433 10815
6 Guarany de Bage 10118 2184

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

XV Piracicaba

WDWWDDLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Cianorte
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-4 147 L
27/06 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
2-0 2-0 53 W
20/06 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 86 D
07/06 Nova Iguacu
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 45 L
30/05 Noroeste
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 74 D
24/05 Velo Clube SP
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 114 D
16/05 Marica RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-0 2-1 33 W
09/05 Sampaio Correa RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 77 W
03/05 Sampaio Correa RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 85 D
25/04 Marica RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 42 W

Cianorte

WLLWDLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 XV Piracicaba
Brazil Serie D
1-0 4-0 17 W
28/06 Sao Joseense
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 98 L
20/06 Sao Joseense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 38 W
07/06 Guarany de Bage
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 45 W
31/05 Santa Catarina
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-3 78 L
23/05 Joinville
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 59 D
17/05 FC Cascavel
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 66 W
10/05 Sao Luiz
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 126 L
07/05 America MG
Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste
0-0 2-3 48 L
03/05 Sao Luiz
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in XV Piracicaba vs Cianorte?

According to our model, the most likely result is a XV Piracicaba win (58%). Probabilities: XV Piracicaba 58%, draw 28%, Cianorte 15%.

How many goals are expected in XV Piracicaba vs Cianorte?

The model expects 2.21 goals (XV Piracicaba 1.55 · Cianorte 0.67), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in XV Piracicaba vs Cianorte?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.