Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 10/07, 20:45

Prediction: St. James Swifts (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)

Expected goals: 4.36 (St. James Swifts (W) 1.71 · Sion Swifts (W) 2.65). The model gives 24% home, 19% draw, 58% away. Over 4 goals (52%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-2.

On recent form, St. James Swifts (W) is 8-1-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Sion Swifts (W) 9-0-1 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, St. James Swifts (W) won 1 and Sion Swifts (W) 1.

58%2
24% 19% 58%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St. James Swifts (W) 1587 · Sion Swifts (W) 1622
St. James Swifts (W)DrawSion Swifts (W)
Our model23%19%57%
Market24%18%58%
Estimated total (ours) 4.36 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.36St. James Swifts (W) 1.71 · Sion Swifts (W) 2.65
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 52%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

St. James Swifts (W)Sion Swifts (W)
Goals for / against (FT)3.7 / 1.54 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.9 / 0.51.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/20/0%70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.93.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.4 / 0.11.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · St. James Swifts (W) 101 Sion Swifts (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/09/25
Northern Ireland Championship Women
St. James Swifts (W)5-3
HT 3-1
Sion Swifts (W)
11/06/25
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Sion Swifts (W)4-1
HT 1-1
St. James Swifts (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSt. James Swifts (W)Sion Swifts (W)
Craigavon City (W) 5-1 W 6-0 W
Ballymena Utd (W) 3-0 W 3-0 W
Bangor FC (W) 4-1 W 4-1 W
Ballymoney United (W) 5-1 W 6-0 W
Ballyclare Comrades (W) 1-1 D 3-1 W
Mid Ulster (W) 4-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 0 L 6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sion Swifts (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St. James Swifts (W)

WWWDWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/06 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 2-3 30 L
20/05 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
4-0 5-1 53 W
13/05 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 3-0 61 W
06/05 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 4-1 21 W
29/04 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 4-3 30 W
22/04 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 5-1 54 W
15/04 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-1 1-1 50 D
03/04 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 4-1 20 W
10/09 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
3-1 5-3 32 W
03/09 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 4-1 54 W

Sion Swifts (W)

WWLWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/07 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 3-1 72 W
03/07 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
3-0 3-1 80 W
15/05 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
3-0 6-0 02 W
06/05 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 3-0 60 W
29/04 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 4-1 11 W
15/04 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 6-0 133 W
25/03 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 6-1 80 W
10/09 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-3 3-5 12 L
03/09 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 2-0 43 W
31/08 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 4-0 91 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St. James Swifts (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sion Swifts (W) win (58%). Probabilities: St. James Swifts (W) 24%, draw 19%, Sion Swifts (W) 58%.

How many goals are expected in St. James Swifts (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)?

The model expects 4.36 goals (St. James Swifts (W) 1.71 · Sion Swifts (W) 2.65), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in St. James Swifts (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.